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Whither the Nigerian Economy – Keynesianism or Friedmanism? - 2 Print E-mail
Written by Samuel Akinyele Caulcrick   
Monday, 31 December 2007
 

One of the responses I got from the earlier article, on the same subject, was in a form of a phone call from a friend, who labelled me a socialist. ‘Anybody that does not agree with the free-marketer is a socialist, in their books,’ I insisted. Free-market ideology does not consider socialism as the real threat, because that it can counter with strong arguments. However, the Third Way, which is Keynesianism, is a well grounded ideology and can only be defeated with brutalism. Unfortunately, anytime Friedman-ism runs into problems, which it often does, the state always reverts to what Keynes proposed – Keynesianism. The current mortgage crises in the developed economies, for instance, without government intervention, would have developed into economic earthquakes – with massive layoffs, lost of properties and a run on the banks by depositors. We all saw what happened to Northern Rock in the UK and all the mortgage lenders in the U.S. and some industrialised economies.

For the avoidance of doubt, Keynes had argued that since business investment necessarily fluctuated, it could not be depended upon to maintain a high level of employment and a steady flow of income through the economy. Keynes then proposed that government spending must compensate for insufficient business investment in times of recession. That was what President Bush, the hardcore follower of Friedman ideology, did by momentarily dumping Friedman’s ideology for Keynesianism in order to avert economic catastrophe in the U.S. He also begged other industrialised nations to intervene and pump public money into their distressed housing market that was allowed for a long time to regulate itself. They still may not be convinced, but it proves that Friedmanism as an economic ideology is flawed after all. The problem is that the ideologues of free-market are either myopic or cannot see the bigger picture. The ideology is hollow, if you ask me.

History is not even on their side and must have come a full circle. Western civilisation started about 50 centuries ago in a small plain in south-east Asia known then as Mesopotamia and later renamed Babylonian plain, but shockingly it is the troubled land of Iraq today. Thus western civilisation, as we know it, owes its origin to that land. At that time, cities rose and government developed and these developments later spread to Palestine, Greece and Rome. Mesopotamia which is Greek for “land between the rivers,” was what the plain was. The twin rivers, Tigris and Euphrates flow down from the mountains south-eastwards through hilly grasslands they created, and before exiting into the Persian Gulf, deposited fertile soil of mud that formed the marshlands along their banks. The same land, just as today, had very little rainfall and with the blazing sun – irrigation became vital for farming.

In early times before recorded history, the Sumerians, who were the first settlers in Mesopotamia, built embankments to control the floodwaters of the Euphrates River. Gradually, the marshes were drained, dug and irrigated. A large-scale co-operation was needed for the construction and the repairs of the canals and ditches that formed the irrigation works. That co-operation was what gave rise to government and laws; as we know them today. Civilisation, in one of its terms, has been described as an advanced level of development in society that is marked by complex social and political organisation, and material, scientific, and artistic progress. Keynes recognised this, but Friedman seemed to have discountenanced it. Cynically, at the beginning of the rise of free-market global wave, sometimes back before the invasion of Iraq, one of Friedman’s protégé defined it as the “end of history,” and not the beginning of it. Consequently, they chose Iraq, the birth place of civilisation – in an attempt to end history.

The conversation I had with my concerned friend became lengthier, but not over the phone. We both agreed that it would be better to spend the money, about 50 naira per minute that would otherwise had gone to the phone operators, on ourselves - the advantage of free-market economics, he argued. He won. We met over a beer and guess what we discussed. Economics is a Greek word meaning “household management.” It is the performance of tasks and services that allow a family to survive and prosper: it is about the provision, primarily, of food, clothing and shelter. It is also about our desires, such as luxuries of automobiles; television sets; mobile phones; access to the Internet and even a visit to the dentist. A chosen economic system by a government that best delivers these in a society has been the bone of contention over the ages. The word “capital,” for instance, refers to the factor of production, which is the money, land, buildings, and machinery it takes to operate the enterprise and those who supply the money are known as the capitalists.

In the last 70 years, the world has experienced the two extremes, which are socialism and capitalism, and of course the middle of the way – the Third Way. Whereas communism, socialism, etc. are top-down command-and-control political systems, they are not as efficient in terms of production as capitalism. This implies that in capitalism, people have individual liberty and the right to own a property – which in the other systems is ceded to the state. They also have the right to do what they wish with their property, as long as nobody is hurt – mm! People may not be hurt directly, but the environment could be damaged. Profit has always been anti-environment. This could be one more difference between Keynesianism and Friedmanism, because, to start with, they are both capitalism, but with different degree of how they affect the society. Free-market ideologues oppose the third way, Keynesianism, which could, as a bare minimum, provide the basic necessities to the underprivileged. Besides, it is a safety net that allows the rich to have a decent sleep instead of going to bed with one eye open.

Friedman and his followers, however, have their own solution. It is, to make enough profits, to be able to buy the security necessary that will prevent them from going to bed with one eye open. So, we have all decided to live like caged animals, boarded by burglary proofing and privacy violated by surveillance cameras, inside walled zones like the “Green Zone” of Baghdad. There, over 50% of the U.S. forces in Iraq guard the Green Zone of Baghdad alone 24/7 in order to isolate themselves from the horrors of the red zones, they created, outside of it. The creature of self-interest has pushed self-interest to another level and has murdered sleep. In softer term, the difference between the two forms of capitalism is regulation. By not allowing the market to regulate itself, the common denominator, the government, could bring down the “wall” between the red zones and the green zones, and everybody goes home happy. No wonder the free-market economy is against strong government. Besides, it has been proven that Keynesianism is more efficient in terms of development in the society, but maybe a little short on delivery of profits to the capitalists.

The greatest enemy that free-market economy ideology has is democracy, unfortunately. The one-man-one-vote mechanism is not in its favour unless rigged. Politicians have recognised it. For instance, the referendum on the future of the European Union, which is basically the introduction of free-market economy, was defeated across the length and breadth of Europe. The ideology is lopsided and can only be balanced by brutality or deceit, which is why only dictators have attempted its implementation. From Pinochet to Babangida and now their grand patron in the person of Bush, they have left large-scale poverty in their wakes. They are antidevelopment because it eats deep into otherwise corporate profits. Come on people! Your salvation could be to carry the battle to the capitalists using the other great work of Friedman, monetarism, as a weapon. By starting to monetise all issues also, as the capitalist has always done, it would stop being their exclusive preserve. Maybe with that, tribalism and nepotism that the capitalists had always used to deceive would not deflect the people’s focus any longer.

Iunderstand that the new mega city being planned for Lagos is coming complete with its own airport, social amenities and biased electricity supply. It would leave the rest of the city in the Stone Age. It may not be a duty-free zone as claimed because it is being funded by businesses; but exclusively preserved for the rich. The rich and the capitalist, at last, would have their own haven – their own Green Zone, while the rest of Lagos could descend into red zones. If that happens, it could be one green zone that could require the whole strength of the Nigerian Army to defend, if the rest of Lagos is somewhat damned and abandoned. I wish everybody, on both sides of the argument, a Happy New Year and a stream of good prospects in the years ahead.

Samuel Akinyele Caulcrick, the author of The Devil Must Be Laughing.





RobotRobot is offline 
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 # 1

var sbtitle5286=encodeURIComponent(Whither the...Read the full article.

Posted by Robot| 31.12.2007 09:19

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nero africanusnero africanus is offline 
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 # 2

dear samuel,

you failed to tie the two versions of capitalism ( such a dirty word ) to the nigerian context , which i guess is what you started out to do. you are right in the extreme model of friedman that quasi keynesianism or socialism for others has to bail out .

if you remember the extreme model that is giving rise to the american crisis is the same thing that led to the depression of 1933.

wealth is created for the rich until the economy is ruined , then good old socialism marked by government command and control is called upon to bail it out .. this is exactly what Roosevelt did

when economic boom is marked by people spending money they dont have and will never be able to earn , trouble is just being brewed for this will lead to a crisis later in the day.

the economic downfall of america has started , then the democrats will be voted in , in hope they will arrest the spiral with socialist policies like the democrat roosevelt did in '33

nice write up though

free market is a polite word ,

the word is capitalism

Posted by nero africanus| 01.01.2008 15:17

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