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Whither the Nigerian Economy – Keynesianism or Friedmanism? Print E-mail
Written by Samuel Akinyele Caulcrick   
Wednesday, 26 December 2007

In the late 1920s, Weimar   Germany (Republic) was seriously destabilised by the economic shocks and crises that resulted from the perils of a market left to regulate itself. Does it not sound like an all familiar scenario. Anyway, that economic debacle allowed fascism to rise in the heart of Europe , and consequently led to the horrors of the Second World War. After the war, the initial forty-three members that formed the UN created the World Bank and the IMF in direct response to those horrific consequences. Never again the charter states that such a mistake would be allowed to happen. They called an economic conference that came up with a solution.

Thus, the World Bank was designed to make long-term investments in development to pull countries out of poverty, while its twin, the IMF, would act as a global shock absorber, promoting economic policies that reduced financial speculation and market volatility. If all had gone well according to the charters, when a country seems likely to fall into economic crises, the IMF would bring in stabilising grants and loans, thereby preventing crises before they occur. The World Bank and the IMF buildings which are to be found opposite each other on Nineteen Street in Washington   D.C. , the capital of the United States of America , were mandated to coordinate their responses to any given economic crisis.

John Maynard Keynes, it was who came with the idea of the two institutions. He had headed the U.K. delegation to that world economic conference in 1944 in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, and won the argument that since business investment necessarily fluctuated, it could not be depended on to maintain a high level of employment and a steady flow of income through the economy. Keynes proposed that government spending must compensate for insufficient business investment in times of recession. The brotherhood of man if harnessed would create quantum wealth and quantum wealth it did create. The post-war prosperity was unequalled in the annals of mankind and not a single blood was shed in the process. But there was a problem, Keynes’ ideology cut deep into corporate profits in times of growth.

Milton Friedman, who passed on - on 16 November 2006 at the age of 93, was born in New York and educated at Rutgers   University and the University of Chicago . He was the son a Hungarian immigrant. His father lost his garment shop during the Great Depression due to union activities. His loathing for collective bargaining probably started there, though he always denied it. He joined the economics department of the Faculty of Social Sciences at the University of Chicago in 1946 and went straight to work under his mentor, Friedrich Hayek, one of the “Three Austrians” They were anti-Keynesianism because the capitalist desire for high profit is hampered by government, who uses what should go to them to look after the poor.

It was in Chicago , in the1950s, that Friedman became a protagonist of the economic theory of monetarism, that free market forces, rather than increased government intervention, can most effectively produce a balanced and non-inflationary rate of economic growth. Their theory also created another problem: the ideology leaves out a big chunk of the populace uncared for, and instead accelerates corporate profits. Wealth should trickle down from those profits he argued. He had wittingly or unwittingly discountenanced the self-interest of man. Such purist ideology is utopian, except of course it is administered repressively. In the beginning, no responsible government listened to him and his followers – not even in the USA that was the most capitalistic.

It was first presented to Richard Nixon in 1967, when Friedman’s Chicago Boys populated Nixon’s cabinet – the likes of Donald Rumsfeld, but Nixon balked. Friedman went ahead to label Nixon, “the most socialist president in the recent history of the U.S. ” In 1973, an opportunity reared its head when, with the help of Chilean Chicago economics graduates (Chicago Boys) and the CIA, Augusto Pinochet violently overthrew the developmental government of Salvador Allende. “The Brick,” a document that contained 220-law decree, was drafted in a room in Bolivia for Pinochet before the coup. When it was unleashed on Chile , several thousands died and many tens of thousand unaccounted for – just to introduce the experimental free market economy that trebled poverty.

From Chile in 1973 through 30 years to Iraq , there has not been anywhere in the world that blood had not been shed greatly and corruption multiplied, not to mention increased poverty, whenever the free market philosophy has been introduced. Adam Smith had concluded rightly that man is driven by self-interest. Friedman agrees, but he has also twisted it. The philosophy of Friedmanite is “Shock and Awe,” because unlike Keynes that won his on strong arguments, they know they can never win the argument. If there is no crisis, they will create one. ‘It is crisis that will always bring change, and only during crises that people change,’ Friedman was quoted as saying. They pray for disaster to happen, which when the people are still disorientated by it, they could slip in their evil machination.

Like a crazy interrogator that administers electric shock and disorientating drugs to his victim to make him say what he wants to hear. The Chicago School of Thoughts is about administering economic shocks to defenceless people to make them imbibe the free-market ideology. Ordinarily, common people know that the system does not favour them and tried to resist, unless of course with a gun to their head. What the free-marketers want are hollow governments and that could be cataclysmic. The philosophy is to hit them hard when they are very susceptible and disorientated – mass retrenchment, higher prices, devaluation, deregulation, and no price control, all at once, and then tell them they have to privatise their collective wealth (public utilities) or their prime plot of land, which by now will go for a fraction of what they are worth.

The whole idea is to wind back the clock to the beginning of Industrial Revolution, when capitalists had unfettered ways of short-changing workers. That time it led to violent revolutions. In the strong democracy of Britain , Thatcher did not initiate the Falkland War, but she took advantage of the bloody war that shocked her people to introduce the first free-market in a developed economy. The British rail system that was the best in the world at the time has since been a shadow of what it used to be. In Nigeria , public enterprises were deliberately under funded to give the impression of non-performance. Babangida even released $100 million dollars, not to bail out Nigeria Airways but to wind it up, at a time when the total indebtedness of the national airline was less than $97 million. The money disappeared into thin air.

During the time of Jesus, Rome was the procurator, whilst the custodians of the Judaic faith (scribes, Pharisees and the Elders) were the collaborators of the occupying force. It was double whammy against the poor. They were compelled to pay the increasing tax to Caesar and mandated to pay the tithes to the men of God – “much burden on the common man.” Jesus condemned it. Friedman’s ideology wherever it goes has always, any time practicable, have in toe a twisted brand of Christianity, where they claim they have unlocked the secret of the Bible to generate prosperity in the devilish free-market economy. The ideology does not cater for the poor, but emphasised profit – in clear violation of what Jesus Christ preached and the reason why he was killed.

To qualify for the prosperity, the con preachers emphasize, you must be ready to pay the tithes, which is not too prominent in the New Testament and a double whammy according to Christ. As the people can see, it has only been profitable to the man of God, who has amassed to himself embarrassing wealth. ‘When was the last time you hear them talk about the Kingdom of God ?’ a concerned clergy asked recently. Jesus, we know, spoke about the Kingdom of God on every occasion. The burden on the poor is being multiplied by these false prophets who prey on the victims of disaster capitalism. Instead of helping to holdout against crisis capitalism, they have allied with it. But of course, they are false prophets. Jesus warned that anybody that follows these men of God is foolish (Matthew 7:15-27). Prophet Mohammed also had to flee Mecca because he antagonised and condemned the merchants of profit.       

Nearer home, from 1986 till now, Nigerian economy has been in a tailspin since the introduction of the free market economy, which in any case is distorted. Development has slowed to a trickle; throwing millions out of job. They deliberately under funded public holdings to sell them for peanuts. Corruption has skyrocketed. ‘Free market economy is not about development, it’s about profit for the capitalists,’ a leading economist recently stated. Everywhere, it has been little growth and high profit. In retrospect little wonder why Nigerian economy has defied growth, whilst its banks declare huge profit. Millions of Nigerians, as a result, have fled to other lands and many millions more are roaming the streets unemployed. Security of life is like the Red zones of Iraq . Unfortunately, there is not yet a Green Zone in Nigeria .

It was an irony that Friedman, known as the “Angel of Torture”, philosophically opposed the two institutions of the World Bank and the IMF. They represent intervention in the free-market, but there were no institutions better positioned to implement his crisis theory. So, the first thing the Chicago Boys did was to colonise the World Bank and the IMF. When countries were sent spiralling into crises in the eighties, they had nowhere else to turn but the World Bank and the IMF. There, they hit the wall of orthodox Chicago Boys, who did not see such crises as problems to solve, but an opportunity to experiment a sick ideology of the new free-market frontier, where humans were being used as guinea pigs. They were violating the charters to which those institutions were established.

By 1989, Friedman’s neo-liberal triumvirate of privatisation, deregulation/free trade and drastic cuts to government spending had become official in the Washington financial institutions because of the U.S. and Britain ’s veto powers. John Williamson unveiled “the Washington Consensus,” which was a list of economic policies that both institutions considered the bare minimum for economic health – “the common core of wisdom embraced by serious economists,” they decreed. Even though it had not worked as designed, the way forward was never to slow down on the therapy of shock but to apply more shock treatments. By this time, Harvard, London and Oxford had come on board. Those, it seemed, was for fear of being on the losing side.

Joseph Stiglitz, former chief economist of the World Bank and one of the last holdouts against this disaster capitalist orthodoxy, wrote that ‘Keynes would be rolling over in his grave were he to see what has happened to his child.’ The hardcore capitalist’s main goal is to get back homeland USA . They cannot forgive the Englishman for introducing partial social reform in America . Friedman did not only hate what Keynes stood for, he detested his person as well. He said, ‘Keynes, I think, got it all wrong from the beginning.’ His Chicago Boys have laid false claim to their success; always glossing over massive corruption and loss of human life that their ideology had rained on humanity, even in the U.S. New Orleans is an example.

Their patron, the chief priest of shock ideology, is gone. Iraq has turned out to be their greatest failure. From Chile, Brazil, Falkland, Argentina, Bolivia, Russia, Tiananmen Square (China), Nigeria, 9/11, New Orleans and a host of other countries and happenings till Iraq, these countries were given the shock dozes and during the disorientation of the people, their wealth were carted off. Blood flowed in all those instances just because of the ideology of some few evil men. It is evident that they cannot sustain their crusade because it is just too bloody. ‘I think Iraq is the turning point and it took the craziest ideologue to push their religion of profit, that is equally as bloodletting as communism and Islamic Fundamentalism, overboard,’ one commentator said lately.

Presently, the shock they administered is already wearing off in many places and many countries are considering their relationship with the World Bank and the IMF. It is being championed by Venezuela . The mid-term election that ceded the Congress to the Democrats in the U.S. would slow down corporatist America no doubt and it is just about a good time for Nigeria to do about turn. If Yar’adua means what he says and a liberalist as people claim he is, he should start by expunging the “Chicago Boys” economists from around him and in government. They have been indoctrinated just like some “Goodfellas” got hooked on Nazism and became drunk on it. Considering the misery of the ordinary people, which has become too glaring, they are not blind - they are just plain evil.

 

Samuel Akinyele Caulcrick, the author of The Devil Must Be Laughing.     





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