23 Jun 2007 |
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Fuel Price: Omar vs. Umar It is poetic justice of sorts that the Umar Yar'Adua administration is beginning its tenure on a note of disruption. Coming alongside widespread cynicism about the legitimacy of the April 2007 elections, it is correct to add that this is Yar'Adua's baptism of fire. For the past four days, the country has been in a state of suspended animation, it has been shut down effectively by labour strikes over the quarter to midnight increases in pump prices of petroleum products and Value Added Tax (VAT) imposed on Nigerians by the departing Obasanjo government. Workers are at home, the streets are empty, commuters are stranded because there is no fuel. In parts of the country, petrol has become as expensive as gold, businesses are shutting down, investors are lamenting the cost of the strike in terms of actual losses. When the Obasanjo government assumed power in 1999, this was precisely the situation in the country, but one of its early achievements was the quick manner in which it put an end to the crisis of fuel scarcity. Its argument was that it needed to increase fuel prices, deregulate the downstream sector and allow market forces to determine appropriate pricing in order to guarantee availability of petroleum products. On the eve of his departure, however, President Obasanjo chose to turn the tables by returning Nigerians to the way they were in 1999. It is a metaphor for the character and performance of the Obasanjo government. Constructively, the on-going strike over fuel prices is a protest against the Obasanjo government, even out of power. But the Yar'Adua government has failed to make this clear enough by its own tardiness, and now by its hard-line stance in its negotiations with the Nigeria Labour Congress, it is claiming ownership of a volatile issue from which it should have distanced itself. The combined forces of the Nigeria Labour Congress and the Trade Union Congress (TUC) acting on behalf of the Nigerian people gave enough notice (two weeks) of their decision to go on strike should the Yar'Adua government refuse to do three things: reverse the increase in the pump price of petroleum products, reverse the 100 per cent increase in VAT, reverse the sale of the Kaduna refinery. Public opinion was massively on the side of organized labour. The rub of it was that the increases in fuel price and VAT were done executively, without consultation, and contrary to enabling laws, by an outgoing government which sought cynically to tie the hands of its successor. The illegality of the measures rankled but even worse than this is the instant inflationary effect that this had with an overnight meteoric rise in the prices of consumer items as businesses passed on the additional cost to hapless Nigerians. The cries of the people were so loud, even the deaf could feel their pain. A two-week old President who had promised on inauguration day to be a servant-leader and a listening President, could have seized the moment at this point and he was so advised. Announce a return to the status quo, tell Nigerians that government will take a look at their grievances, appeal to the people to allow the new government to settle down, and then prepare the grounds gradually for meeting the public mid-way or at some point, after due justification has been provided, if need be. Mistake Number One: Instead of toeing this line of action, the Yar'Adua government ignored labour and allowed the two weeks ultimatum and the additional four days that was granted to lapse. Then after the fact, with labour determined to go on strike, it suddenly remembered something called the negotiating table. What were they doing for two weeks? This expression of contempt for the Nigerian people was a sure invitation to trouble. Although the Federal Government reluctantly, it seems, announced a cancellation of the VAT increase, and a removal of N5 from the fuel price increase, labour insisted that even the remaining N5 must go. Did President Yar'Adua have to wait for so long before acting? If he had acted promptly as advised and invited labour for discussions, he could have gained a higher moral ground. But that opportunity was lost. Mistake Number Two: The negotiations have not been working because the Federal Government representatives are more interested in engaging the other party in a shouting match. The Federal Government says the strike action is political. Of course it is. And why should it be different? This is not a protest about salaries and wages, but about the security and welfare of the Nigerian people and the responsibility of government. It is also political to the extent that the government's alienation of organized labour is bound to further strengthen the political opposition, which may infiltrate the ranks of labour and provide motivation for it to fight the Yar'Adua government to the finish. This has deepened the legitimacy crisis that the government originally faces. Complaining about politics therefore means nothing in the circumstance. In the long run, every matter of this nature is political. The onus is on the Yar'Adua government to find a political solution to the problem. But Kingibe has asked: "So this whole crisis is because of N5?" It is in the nature of the likes of Kingibe to trivialize every important issue. Mistake Number Three: It is unfortunate that the government is issuing threats. Baba Gana Kingibe, the Secretary to Government has said that the Federal Government "will consider all other options which it was reluctant to apply in ensuring that labour laws are fully respected and complied with. The laws governing strike must be fully respected and enforced..." The Acting Inspector-General of Police, Mike Okiro has also threatened that his men are prepared to deal with anybody who tries to prevent those who do not want to join the strike from going about their normal businesses. So what will the Federal Government do? Arrest labour leaders? These are familiar tactics, which can only serve the effect of reminding Nigerians that from the military to Obasanjo to Yar'Adua, nothing has changed in the attitude of government towards the people. The Nigerian Federal Government is the ultimate Leviathan; it exercises power as it wishes including the power to ambush the people. It is a pity. In the past three weeks, the Yar'Adua government has managed to expose its limitations. If its intention is to project an impression of strength, it has only succeeded in advertising its weakness. For example, this government has inherited more political liabilities than assets from the immediate past administration. The general impression is that President Yar'Adua is unable to act decisively, because this is still in every sense an extension of the Obasanjo government, third term by proxy, and that former President Obasanjo, is today the de facto ruler of Nigeria, functioning now in the background as the Adedibu at Ota Farm. And so, the question is necessarily asked: how soon will Yar'Adua become his own man? How soon will he step out of Obasanjo's shadows and create his own style? He has so far failed that test in his handling of the fuel price crisis. But I think that labour has made its point clearly and eloquently. With the negotiations not producing desired results, with the negotiating parties not yielding any grounds to each other, labour must review its strategy of containment and protest. The sit at home protest has so far been successful because labour enjoys the support of the people. It is the Nigerian people that are actually fighting government. Labour is the face of the struggle, the strategy wing of the people's revolt. There is no argument that the Yar'Adua government will offer to justify the fuel price increase that will be acceptable to the people, in part because they have heard the same arguments before, all leading towards greater hardship for them. The deregulation of the downstream sector was supposed to result in price differentiations in the market and better choice for the consumer, but that has not happened; reduction of petroleum subsidy was supposed to provide more resources for social development, that also did not happen in eight years; fuel scarcity they said will end if Nigerians bought petroleum products at appropriate prices, as far as Nigerians are concerned, this is sheer blackmail coming from government and independent fuel marketers. Nigerians are disturbed that oil, which is the country's main asset is also the principal source of trouble. They don't understand why in spite of our crude oil resources, government cannot get the refineries to work, and make fuel available to the people at affordable prices. These are settled arguments and views. After four days of protest, Labour must acknowledge the limits of the sit at home option and plan accordingly. It should consider the option of suspending the general strike, with a caveat that it will continue negotiations with the Federal Government and if no progress is made, it shall have no option but to call upon the people again to stay at home in protest. This break-and-continue strategy will have the utmost impact. This is the only way labour can sustain the people's interest and commitment. Why? A prolonged, endless stay at home option is counter-productive. It will end abruptly and give victory to the Federal Government. The majority of Nigerians taking part in the stay at home strike are artisans, petty traders, and daily paid workers. They survive on a day-to-day basis, earning their wages from their sweat. If they stay at home for too long, they will run out of cash and food, and since they must survive, the strike will logically be broken. And government will jubilate that it has broken the back of labour by stretching the stalemate to the very end of its limitations. This is what the strategists in Abuja would be counting on, because this is the way sit at home strikes have ended in the past. It is now up to labour not to give them that advantage. It is also important that the NLC does not turn this into a Umar vs. Omar affair; the proper accent should be placed on the interest and welfare of Nigerians. How To Manage Fuel Scarcity One of the major skills and tips that many Nigerians learnt under the Abacha government is how to manage the crisis of fuel scarcity and survive the odds. That skill has proven useful over the years. And now that we are back to the past with families looking for fuel as if they were looking for gold, some of the tactics of old may be useful: (i) You will need jerry cans, as many as you can afford. You need to store fuel. If you happen to stumble on a fuel station where fuel is being sold, fill your tank and then, pay a little bribe and fill all your jerry cans. That should keep you going for a few days. (ii) Avoid all meaningless appointments that can waste fuel and add little value. This is not the time to go about town like smallpox. Don't waste fuel. (iii) Reduce the number of hours for generator use. Learn to spend a few hours without electricity. Use the generator only when it is absolutely necessary to do so. (iv) Learn how to pour fuel into a vehicle's tank from a jerry can. Buy a funnel that fits into the opening of your fuel tank. If there is no funnel, take a plastic of Ragolis or Eva water, and turn the upper end of it into a funnel by cutting off the lower end. (v) Buy a hose. You may need to use a hose to draw fuel if the funnel does not work depending on the type of car that you use. The thing about the hose is that you may need to draw the fuel with your mouth after dipping one end of the hose in the jerry can of fuel. Be careful when drawing the fuel. It could go straight up your nostrils and that is not funny. Be prepared to drink a gulp of petrol occasionally whole drawing fuel with your mouth. A little petrol in your system won't kill you as long as you don't light a stick of cigarette immediately after. (vi) Store fuel carefully, away from naked light. Too many lives have been lost on account of this. And then of course, you need to hide your fuel carefully. There is a serious problem of fuel theft in town. Don't send your car to the mechanic with a full tank of fuel. That is too tempting. A 25-litre keg of fuel is about N5, 000 at the moment. The mechanic needs money too. (vii) Watch where you buy fuel in this season of scarcity. Fuel hawking by the roadside has become a major source of livelihood for many young boys and girls. But the fuel that they sell has been mixed with all kinds of things: water, urine etc. You could damage your fuel injector if you buy and use such fuel. (viii) If you have fuel in your store, keep quiet; don't boast about it. Friends and neighbours may ask you to lend them four litres of fuel. However, a small keg of fuel is the best gift you can give anyone at this time. One fellow sent a whole keg to his Pastor during the week; he received extra-ordinary prayers. (ix) Barka da strike.
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