| Nigeria: The Next Generation Of Economic Super Power |
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| Written by Nosa Olotu | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Friday, 25 April 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The difficulty with definition of an economic super power is that it can be looked at from two angles. You could define it by reference to economic block, in which case there are two super powers in the world, European Union and USA. However, if you limit the definition to one specific country we have five economic super powers: U.S., Japan, Germany, China and India. We will use the latter for the purpose of this article. Many would find it hard to believe that India can qualify as an economic super power, just as some would be surprised that I did not include United Kingdom and France in my list of economic super powers. The reason for this would become clear once we look at what makes a country an economic super power. For centuries, some renowned economic theorists have claimed that centrally planned economies create little wealth, stifle innovation, create stagnation and encourages non-competitive business environment. Western economists have for decades campaigned against centrally planned economies while steadfastly promoting free market economies. But other economists have also predicted Chinas economic super power status. Today, I look at China and ask myself where are these economists who once claimed that there is no other way to economic development other than through free market economic policies. What explanations have they got for the emergence of China as an economic super power? I suppose they will say China is an exceptional case! The emergence of China as a super power is due mainly to political factors and has posed the biggest surprise to free market protagonists. China emergence started way back to the days of US president Richard Nixon, when he signed a trade relationship between US and China in 1972. The president of China then was Mr Mao Tse Tung. What Nigeria can learn from the Chinese experience is that achieving economic super power status is wholly dependent on: 1. recognising threats and opportunities 2. having a sufficiently skill workforce (i.e. quality education) 3. how you managed your resources Chinese government realised that if enough food wasnt produced and hunger strike its over a billion population, they would have no choice but to rely on foreign food aid. Then they realised also that when a country relies on foreign aid it loses its political independence. In order to avoid this scenario happening China resorted to generating internal wealth. Suddenly it dawn on China that its enormous population (its natural resources) that was considered its biggest threat also offers it the best source (opportunity) for its economic boon. The Chinese government then embarked on exploiting these natural resources by giving local businesses free reign to do whatever they want to do, to build and expand their factories. The objective was to create jobs and provide income for the unemployed and the underemployed. China was then able to use its low-cost but skilled labour force to produce manufactured goods at a very competitive price that the Western manufacturing companies could not match. The twist in the tale was when Western companies realised that they have no choice but to locate their manufacturing outfits in China to take advantage the skilled low-cost labour. This investment strategy of Western corporations therefore increased the rate at which China developed. China economy continues to grow (11.3% in 2007) at a much faster rate than previously predicted. Currently its growth rate is expected to average about 8% per annum till the year 2010. Also following in the footsteps of China is India. India has the world second largest population. Like China, India also invested heavily on education. India decided to create an elite technology university that only admit the best candidates in the country. The India government did whatever was within its power to ensure that politics did not interfere with the management and admissions into the university. The turning point for India is the dot.com inspired technological revolution that led to the laying of thousands of miles of fibre-optic cable that allow India companies to easily do business with U.S. corporations. Then India had a major break through in proving its technological know-how when computers clock could not recognise the year 2000. Thousands of engineers were needed at a reasonable price to convert all computers to recognise the year 2000. India became the destination to go to for these engineers and the incident offered India an opportunity to prove its worth in the technology market. How do we relate those factors that influenced China and India economic development to Nigeria? In order to answer this question, you need to identify the factors required to become an economic super power that are common to China and India. I will classify these factors as: 1. Education, particularly in the sciences 2. Technological competence 3. Low-cost labour. 4. Enabling political environment Nigeria government needs to increase its investment in education, so as to make educational institutions attractive places for people to want to study and attract the best lecturers. Universities should be allowed to decide their own admission policies but with appropriate checks in place to ensure they operate their admission processes within government guidelines or policies. Also institutions should be provided with funds to award bursaries to hard-up students. For example, a first class degree graduate should have automatic scholarship to do research degrees. Funding for research in Nigeria is at an abysmal level. It is surprising that successive government in Nigeria appears not to recognise the importance of research in economic development. At present, Nigeria government has a number of poorly funded research institutions. But most of their research findings are not showcased to the general public and/or to potential investors. However, many would see the obstacle to Nigeria achieving economic super power status as being the political environment. Do the people have the political will power? The Chinese government policy of allowing businesses to expand with government resources and at the same time allowing them to exploit its citizens by paying cheap wages could never had been done in Nigeria without some elites crying foul. The obvious point to be aware of is that Nigeria is not China, no matter how much you try. The India did not achieve its current economic status by copying Chinas path to success, but it looked at what it has, spots the opportunities available and used them to achieve its developmental goals. Nigeria can achieve the same when the opportunity knocks. But it must prepare for it and the best way to do that is to have a large enough skilled technologists and enabling political environment.
Nosa Olotu, UK
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Posted by Robot| 25.04.2008 23:00