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Consequences of INEC's Announcement of 2007 Election Time-Table Print E-mail
Thursday, 31 August 2006

On August 29, 2006 INEC finally announced the key dates towards Nigeria's crucial 2007 elections as follows:

 - October 7, 2006 for beginning of voter (re-)registration;

 

 - April 14, 2007 for Gubernatorial and State Assemblies Elections;

 

 - April 21, 2007 for Presidential and National Assembly Elections

The order (presidential last) and grouping (state, national) are commendable and are as recommended earlier by this writer, particularly in respect to avoiding any band-wagon effects an early presidential election might engender.  However,  bearing in mind the window of dates March 30  to April 29 that INEC had to work with,  the announced dates were the second worst (after April 28/29) that INEC could have chosen.

Why does one write so?

First, INEC still exhibited a wedding to use of Saturdays as election days, rather than week-days, which could have made it possible to run the elections much earlier.  

Secondly, by making the presidential election as late as April 21, even if the results of any election are announced as fast as within a week (say by April 28), then the Electoral law legally allows petitioners 30 days after such an announcement to file a petition – which would be a day before the hand-over date of May 29 !  

In fact, the issue becomes more complicated in the events of run-offs, which theoretically can be as many as two, each to be conducted within 7 days AFTER the announcement of the earlier one.  If the April 21 presidential election is announced (fast) on April 28, and a run-off is necessary, it must be done by May 5. If that first run-off is run on May 5 and the result is reported by May 12, and if another run-off is necessary, then that must be conducted by May 19.  Results would then have to be announced on May 26 – three days to hand-over date of May 29!

Furthermore, the Constitution allows the results of EACH of these elections to be petitioned against within 30 days – which means that under the best of circumstances, the petition for the May 26 election (if there is to be a second run-off) can be held-off until June 26 – AFTER the president might have been installed on May 29.  [See Table 1]

The upshot of these criticisms is that one would have preferred the Gubernatorial and Presidential Elections to be held on April 3 and Wednesday April 4, 2007 respectively as recommended earlier, which, working back on the dates, would have given at least 10 days for Tribunals to hear all the petitions, including at least for Run-Off #1, which is more probable than Run-Off #2. [See Table 2.]

Consequently, unless the principle of "Sleeping on your Rights" is invoked – which would make the filing of petitions AFTER a remedy has been worked out moot – we may have a crisis on our hands come next year.  

In any case, if these dates are not changed, we are now left to watch VERY CLOSELY each of the deadlines AUTOMATICALLY created by the announcements put forward by INEC.  These deadlines are set forth in Table 3, where a clear distinction should be made (as implied in the Electoral Act 2006)  between "General Election" date (which is April 21, the first date of two elections), and each of the election dates (April 14 for Gubernatorial/State Assembly) and April 21 for Presidential/National Assembly, each of which triggers a different set of deadlines.

Finally, at some point soon in our nation, we must make some bold decisions about staggering our elections and taking guess-work out of election dates so that we don't have a four-year-cycle of electoral carnivals and citizens' nail-biting.  

But we shall see, and in the time being,  let us pray.



BIBLIOGRAPHY

 

 

 

http://www.nigerianmuse.com/important_documents/Electoral_Act_2006_Harmonized.do

 

Nigeria's Electoral Act 2006

 

 

 

http://www.nigerianmuse.com/essays/?u=MWE_Interrogating_Harmonized_Electoral_Act_2006.htm  

 

MID-WEEK ESSAY:  Interrogating the New Harmonized Electoral Act 2006 - and Some Recommendations

 

[Mobolaji E. Aluko, June 14, 2006 ]

 

 

 

http://www.nigerianmuse.com/essays/?u=SM_Update_on_Recommended_dates_2007_Elections.htm

 

SUNDAY MUSINGS:  Update on Recommended Dates for 2007 Elections   

 

[Mobolaji E. Aluko; June 11, 2006 ]

 

 

 
 

http://www.nigerianmuse.com/essays/?u=MWE_Recommending_Dates_ballot_system_for_2007_elections.htm
MID-WEEK ESSAY: Recommending Dates and Ballot System for the 2007 Nigerian Elections [Mobolaji E. Aluko, May 31, 2006] 

 
 

 

 

TABLE 1: CONSEQUENCE OF PRESENT INEC ANNOUCEMENT

 

 

 

April 14 – Gubernatorial Elections

 

April 21 – Presidential Election

 

{April 28 – "Fast Track" Announcement of Results of Presidential & Gubernatorial Elections

 

May 5– Run-Off Elections #1

 

May 12 – "Fast Track" Announcement of results of Run-Off Elections #1

 

May 19 – Run-Off Elections #2

 

May 26 – "Fast Track" Announcement of results of Run-Off Elections  #2

 

May 28 Last day to file Petition Against Presidential Election Results}

 

May 29 – Hand-Over Date

 

{June 12 -  Last day to file Petition Against Run-Off # 1

 

June 26 – Last day to file Petition Against Run-Off # 2


 
 
 

TABLE 2: PREFERRED INEC ANNOUCEMENTS

 
 

April 3 – Gubernatorial Elections (Monday)

 

April 4 – Presidential Elections (Tuesday)

 

April 7 – Announcement of results of Presidential/Gubernatorial Elections (Saturday)

 

April 14 – Run-Off #1 (May not be necessary, but quite possible)

 

April 21 – Announcement of results of Run-Off # 1

 

April 28 – Run Off # 2 (May not be necessary; quite improbable)

 

May 5 – Announcement of results of Run-off # 2

 

May 7 - Last day to file Petition Against Presidential/Gubernatorial Elections

 

May 14 – Last day to file Petition Against Run-Off # 1

 

May 15-25 – Tribunals hear all Petitions

 

May 29 – Hand-Over Date

 

June 5 – Last day to file Petition Against Run-Off # 2

 

 

Table 3: Full Chronological Implications of Announced Electoral Time-Table

 

 

 

 

 

Date 

 Event

 

 

2006 

 

 

 

Wednesday

May 31 

Electoral Law 2006 [Harmonized]

passed by National Assembly 

 

 

Tuesday

June 6 

Assent by President Obasanjo 

 

 

Tuesday,

August 29  

 INEC announces Voter Registration & Election Dates

{ie  October 7, 2006 for begin of voter registration;

 April 14, 2007 for Guber/SASS Elections;

  April 21, 2007 for Prez/NASS Elections} 

 

 

Thursday

August 31 

Deadline for INEC to submit 

Budget for activities for following 

Year 2007 [Section 6(1) of Electoral Act 2006 (EA2006)] 

 

 

Thursday, October 7 

 Voter (Re-)Registration to Begin 

 

 

Saturday, October 14 

6 months days before GENERAL ELECTION GE (ie April 14, 2007):  

1.  Political parties intending to be registered must submit their  applications not later than six months before GE [Section 78(1)]

1.  Political parties intending to merge must give six months notice  to INEC before GE  [Section 84(2)]

 

 

Thursday, November 16 

150 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day: 

1.  Not later than 150 days before this election day,  

INEC must publish date of election and  where nomination papers are to be delivered [Section 31(1)] 

Thursday, November 23 

150 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day: 

1.  Not later than 150 days before this election day,  

INEC must publish date of election and  where nomination papers are to be delivered [Section 31(1)] 

 

 

Friday, December 15 

120 days before Guber/SASS Election Day 

1.  Registration of voters that will vote  not  later than 120 days before this election day [Section 10(5)]…..but  

registration must continue [since it is continuous; Section 10(1)]  

2. Party must submit list of candidates to  INEC not later than 120 days before Guber/SASS Election Day [Section 32(1)] 

3. INEC must publish particulars within 7 days after receipt . [Section 32(3)] 

Friday, December 22 

120 days before Prez/SASS Election Day 

1.  Registration of voters that will vote  not  later than 120 days before this election day [Section 10(5)]…..but  registration must continue [since it is continuous; Section 10(1)] 

2. Party must submit list of candidates to  INEC not later than 120 days before this election day [Section 32(1)] 

3. INEC must publish particulars within 7 days after receipt . 

[Section 32(3)] 

 

 

2007 

 

 

 

Sunday, January 14 

90 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day: 

1.  Parties to submit audited account [Section 89(1)] 

2.  Public campaign by parties can begin;  to last only 90 days and end 24 hours to poll opening  [Section 101(a)]

Sunday, January 21 

90 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day: 

1.  Parties to submit audited account [Section 89(1)] 

2.  Public campaign by parties can begin;  to last only 90 days and end 24 hours to poll opening  [Section 101(a)]

 

 

Sunday, February 4 

70 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day: 

1.  Candidate can withdraw his candidature [Section 36(1)] 

Sunday, February 11 

70 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day: 

1.  Candidate can withdraw his candidature [Section 36(1)] 

 

 

Wednesday, February 21 

60 days before GENERAL ELECTION: 

1.  Not later than 60 days before GENERAL ELECTION,  

supplementary voters' list shall be integrated  

with the voters' register and published [Section 21] 

 

 

 

Wednesday, February 21

1. Parties can signify intent to change its  candidate not later than 60 days before Guber/SASS [Section 34(1)] 

2. Party can change a withdrawn candidate not  

later than 60 days before Guber/SASS [Section 36(2)]

Wednesday, February 28

1. Parties can signify intent to change its  candidate not later than 60 days before Prez/NASS [Section 34(1)] 

2. Party can change a withdrawn candidate not  

later than 60 days before Prez/NASS [Section 36(2)]

 

 

Thursday, March 1 

Within 60 days after each year:

 

1.  INEC must make names, addresses of all  registered persons during 2006 available  to every political party [Section 11(1)(b)] 

 

 

Thursday March 15

30 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day

 

1.  INEC to publish by display full names of  all candidates standing nominated  [Section 35] 

2. No duplicate voter's card issued on polling day or within 30 days  of Guber/SASS Elections Day [Section 19(3)]

Thursday March 22 

30 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day 

 

1.  INEC to publish by display full names of  all candidates standing nominated  [Section 35] 

2. No duplicate voter's card issued on polling day or within 30 days  of Prez/NASS Elections Day [Section 19(3)] 

 

 

Saturday, March 31 

14 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day 

 

1. INEC shall publish  (a) day/hours fixed for poll (b) people entitled to vote; and  (c) location of polling stations.  [See Section 47] 

2.  Election tribunals shall be set up  not later than 14 days before Guber/SASS Elections Day [Section 140(3)] 

Saturday,

April 7 

14 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day 

 

1. INEC shall publish  (a) day/hours fixed for poll  (b) people entitled to vote; and (c) location of polling stations.  [See Section 47]

2.  Election tribunals shall be set up  not later than 14 days before Prez/NASS Elections Day [Section 140(3)] 

 

 

Tuesday March 27 

7 days before PED: 

 

1.  Each political party to submit names and  addresses of its polling agents [Section 46(1)] 

 

 

Friday,

March 30 

60 days before H-OD 

 

1.  Presidential elections cannot be held  earlier than this date (by 1999 Constitution) 

Friday,

April 13

Guber/SASS Public campaign ends on this day

Saturday,

April 14

Gubernatorial/State Assembly Election Day

 ???????????? 

Gubernatorial/State Assembly Results Announced when?  Date of announcement uncertain 

 

 

 

 

Friday,

April 20

Prez/NASS Public campaign ends on this day

Saturday,

April 21 

Prez/NASS Election Day 

???????????? 

Prez/NASS Results Announced when? 

Date of announcement uncertain 

 

 

 ????????????

Guber/SASS Election petitions to be filed by this date {within  30 days of results declaration [Section 141]}

 ???????????? 

Prez/NASS Election petition to be filed by this date {within  

30 days of results declaration [Section 141]} 

 

 

???????????? 

Run-off # 1: 7 days after Prez/Guber Results are announced 

Date of announcement uncertain 

 

Election petition against Run-off #1  can be filed within 30  

days for results declaration  [Section 141] 

 

 

???????????? 

Run-off # 2: within 14 days after Prez/Guber Run-off # 1 announced  

Date of announcement uncertain 

 

Election petition can be filed within 30 days  

for results declaration of Run-off # 2  [Section 141] 

 

 

Sunday,

April 29 

30 days before Handover-Date

 

1.  Presidential elections cannot be held later  

than this date (by 1999 Constitution) 

 

 

Tuesday,

May 29

Hand-Over Date (HOD) to New Administration 

 

 

 

 





RobotRobot is offline 
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 # 1

MID-WEEK ESSAY:

...Read the full article.

Posted by Robot| 31.08.2006 01:36

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ithinkbetterithinkbetter is offline 
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 # 2

something fatally erroneous in nature has been fundamentally displayed in the whole process of arriving at a convenient and optimal election timetable, either there exists apparently conscious ulterior motive to sabotage the entire election or somebody has awfully and woefully failed to do his job with bravo...has inec thrown mathematics into dustbin...?

is high time that stakeholders in nigeria learn to use application of mathematical equation, logic, rationality and science in a process of finding adequate and optimal solutions to problems...!


But we shall see, and in the time being, let us pray.



sorry o, mobolaji, me i no dey for praying... my broda!

best regards!

Posted by ithinkbetter| 31.08.2006 03:57

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BOEBOE is offline 
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 # 3


Why does one write so?


The upshot of these criticisms is that one would have preferred the Gubernatorial and


Presidential Elections to be held on unless the principle of "Sleeping on your Rights" is invoked


I am sorry that I do NOT understand any of the above. In a country where announcements are made for incoherent reasons, I cannot relate to "Sleeping on your Rights". What does that mean?

Posted by BOE| 31.08.2006 04:51

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WillyWilly is offline 
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 # 4

Bolaji,

When the obvious is over-emphasized, it becomes suspicious goes a wise saying, anyone that needs help to see through the perfidy aka INEC under Maurice Iwu (Mo Green of The Godfather fame) must be the only visitor to Nigeria. I make bold to say that crying after the milk is spilt never gets us anywhere.

You and Maurice Iwu have lived in the same MD for several years, what did you say when he was given the 'mere' job of state INEC commissioner considering the size of his research institute that he left behind for his son to run? Were we not all 'sleeping on duty' when he finally landed 'the real job' courtesy of his relationship with the Uba gansters, even then what did you and all of us say? Our senators confirmed him in minutes was all we did (yes, all of us, after all the senators represent us).

So why are we crying now he is poised to deliver the goods for his masters?

That you, your family, friends and any other person got into partisan politics today in spite of the deep flaws makes the person an accomplice of this hitherto unknown level of brigandage, so we will rightly or wrongly see your complaints (starting from Alex Ekwueme through Utomi and the rest) as the sour grapes of bad losers.

We have an emergency situation of leprosy and your guys are postulating on how to cure heat rash. Elitism remains our biggest burden, apologies Ibrahim Babangida.

Posted by Willy| 31.08.2006 11:04

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OghreOghre is offline 
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 # 5

I don't think telling everyone discrepancies in the itinerary is the core issue here; we are jumping the gun on this one.

There are indications that the election is heading for the candidacy of rotten eggs and massive rigging but we are not mobilising to do anything about it.

What is it with Nigerians and misappropriation of expertise, priorities, complacency and ineptitude?

Posted by Oghre| 01.09.2006 05:23

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KabikalaKabikala is offline 
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 # 6

Hello Prof,
I read your piece and I share your concerns. I however want to know if anyone can provide me some information on an issue I read Prof. Maurice Iwu allude to in one of his interviews. That the consitution does not allow him to conduct Presidential elections more than 30 days before the handover date. And that he was hoping the botched constitution amendment process would help him rectify that section to make for an earlier election.
Can anyone confirm this?

Posted by Kabikala| 04.09.2006 04:11

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Bolaji AlukoBolaji Aluko is offline 
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 # 7

Kabikala:

When it comes to dates, the 1999 Constitution has this to say in Section 132:

QUOTE

http://www.nigeria-law.org/ConstitutionOfTheFederalRepublicOfNigeria.htm

132. (1) An election to the office of President shall be held on a date to be appointed by the Independent National Electoral Commission.

(2) An election to the said office shall be held on a date not earlier than sixty days and not later than thirty days before the expiration of the term of office of the last holder of that office.

UNQUOTE

So that quotation attributed to Prof. Maurice Iwu cannot be correct.

Expiration date of the last holder will be May 29, 2007.

Posted by Bolaji Aluko| 04.09.2006 22:45

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