You have to be short sighted and unthinking to simply suggest that it is too early to make critical observations of Jonathan's present administration. Whether he is effective or is simply another sluggish manager of our almost impending failure, the fact is, Jonathan has shown his stuff. From his utterances, body language, travels, decisions and public remarks, it is undemanding to make sense of his capability, potential and competence. Based on this, one can determine where Nigeria would be in the next 1-2 years.
Are we going to have a successful election come 2011? Is there going to be a constant supply of electricity any time soon? And, is the security situation in Nigeria going to improve for the better?.. The simple answer to all this questions is NO. Our polity will not get any better by December 2011 even months after Jonathan might have left office. The reason is that Jonathan has trapped himself in a state of political mess. Besides, he lacks the confidence, character and wherewithal to lead and address most of our stringent economic and socio-political problems.
For Jonathan, a guy who has reached his height of eminence simply by providence and not by experience, professionalism and track record, offering effective leadership would definitely be a rocket science, one that will prove onerous, arduous and demanding.
How could the tough demands of our crumbling economy be met by a commander in chief who is deeply engrossed in politicking and unnecessary high service in Abuja. Has he addressed the issues of Niger delta, Corruption, election malpractices, electricity, infrastructural deficit, poverty, security, food, oil and employment generation? Clearly No, in spite of this, we have a C in C who instead of rolling up his sleeves and getting down to work is found welcoming unnecessary guests from past presidents to state governors and foreign entourage in Aso Rock. What we have is a C in C on a speech delivery course most of the time and being invited to commission old and pointless projects in Oyo, Rivers and the likes. What we have is a C in C who is mainly concerned with issues pertaining to politics with party players like Obasanjo and the likes. Most of this guys with whom Jonathan associates himself and joins ties are guys who have at one time or the other been there and failed Nigeria at full length. So what should we expect from his relationship with past faces of failure. Few days ago Jonathan was in France and expected to be in Saudi Arabia on a thank you visit to the president who hosted his late boss during his period of sickness. In few weeks he will also be in Canada on the invitation of G-8 nations. For Jonathan all this unnecessary trips and activities occupy his days and one wonders what time he has to sit his ass and address some of our key domestic socio-economic issues. It will be noted that Jonathan also doubles as the minister for power, an office for which he has no clue, experience or singular background.
Today, what we have is a Jonathan who has no apparent strategy, systems or programmes in place to bail out Nigeria from the shackles of poverty and continuous failure. Comparatively, our Jonathan displays only a marginal difference from his ex-boss; late president Umaru Yaradua. However, certainly, he, Jonathan is a person of good character, simple and laid-back, but one with less propensity and acquaintance with Nigerian politics and knowledge needed to manoeuvre, demystify and address political games, trickery and complexities.
In politics, a good character is not enough to make an effective leader; you have to be tough, vast, courageous, consistent, firm and knowledgeable. Besides, you have to have effective management skills with which you'll administer all the resources entrusted upon you. To be an effective manager you must possess skills other than that of leadership, simply because leadership is different from Management. As an effective manager, you must have a team of ministers, advisers and directors that are dependable, strong, effective, capable and responsible. For each of your ministers or team members, you must have a target that must be achieved by a specific period or any failing team or minister loses his Job. You must have a working blueprint that acts as a guide towards your routine tasks and activities. Call it manifesto, this blueprint must be simple to implement, straight and in the interest of those whom you serve.
In Britain for example, David Cameron has only just used three weeks as the new prime minister before implementing some of his party's blueprints. As the new prime minister, it also took barely one week before announcing some of his key cabinet members who have started implementing some of his key programmes.
As an effective manager, it is imperative to be a powerful decision maker and a good administrator in order to effectively manage your own set programmes and teams. Today, fate has pushed Jonathan to the position which he perhaps has no skills or proficiency to handle.
Where are his management and leadership talents if he has one? His decision making skills if truly he possesses them. Where are Jonathan's teams of advisers and ministers if they are indeed capable? What part of his late boss's manifesto has he implemented or is he set to implement if indeed he wants to implement one any time soon? Where is the seven point agenda? Even if Jonathan has thrown them down the drain, where are his own working plans? For the rest of his one year term in office, what does Jonathan want to achieve? If it is an added 1,000 mega watts of electricity or a 15% interest rate, let him speak to Nigerians with a strong and definite voice. During his time as vice president, Jonathan cannot claim that he didn't know about some of Nigeria's key problems. For this fact, he can equally not claim that for most of these problems, consultants have not been commissioned to proffer possible solutions to most of our key economic problems. Why does he not simply continue on these programmes with which all he needs is the funds and the team to get them going.
What is happening to the Uwais report and many of such key reports which when implemented can only improve the quality of government programmes and instil confidence in people about the country's electoral system. If it takes weeks to identify a person to head the Independent electoral commission for good and quality electoral management, how long will it take to initiate and implement good programmes? Jonathan's choice of Bukhari Bello although is not in too much of a bad taste according to those who are familiar with him but if given the chance, I'd appoint someone with better clout, superb management background and clear track record. Besides, I'd appoint someone fresh and with no affiliation with old dirty politicians and a person of character, who Nigerians knows, trusts and believes in. The issue of trust in the INEC chairmanship also matters as much as his CV because perceived trust alone could go a long way in Jonathan's overall measure of success.
Jonathan's blind choice for his vice president also does not help matters; it has instead sent strong signals to Nigerians that he is a weak and perhaps mediocre administrator just new in the game of politics. Vice President Sambo's profile has not shown him to be an extra ordinary technocrat or a good politician of excellent track record, so what could have underlied Jonathan's choice of such an uninteresting person.
Apart from these issues, what experience will Jonathan himself bring to the table? Although he has been a governor and vice president in past years, however, he still seem like he is not confident enough to manage our resources as a president, given his recent shy moves an wobbly decisions.
Given this background, Jonathan is certainly losing it. He is losing all the trust bestowed on him by Nigerians during his near capture by political cabals during the sick days of president Umoru. Jonathan is losing his credibility to contest in 2011 and be trusted by Nigerians. Jonathan is losing our confidence in him and he's indeed provoking providence through his ineffective paths and negative dispositions. If care is no taken, the luck with which fate has endowed Jonathan will soon run dry.
Certainly, he can contest the election in 2011 and given his power of incumbency, he might perhaps claim victory in the election, but given his antecedents and his present disposition I'm afraid we might be gearing towards another four years of boredom, mediocrity and political balderdash in the event of his victory. Another new four year period of security jeopardy and economic impropriety, let the truth be told, Jonathan inspires no confidence and within him be-holds a dearth of qualities that is required in the Commander in chief of a country like Nigeria.
Jonathan's simple character is a strong sign of weakness and it is such weakness which disqualifies him as our next commander in chief. I don't want to be misunderstood; I have no hatred for Jonathan in any way but indeed I have a behemoth of issues for his candidature in 2011. The Man Jonathan is unprepared and lacks the temerity to deal straight with painstaking issues like corruption, red tapes and impropriety. More so, Jonathan's relationships with the powers that be like Babangida, Obasanjo and other political cowards is living me with doubts as to his possibility of going far as president.
If we'd compare Jonathan with other evil and corrupt likes of Babangida and Atiku, he is obviously a better choice. But being a better choice still does not rule out the fact that another four year of Jonathan will be long after which there may nothing for Nigerians to write home about.