An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections

AN EYE WITNESS TO ANAMBRA GUBER ELECTIONS

http://www.punchng.com/images/October/Friday/pix20061027126195.jpgThe burial of the last of the titans and the patriarch of the great Igbokwe family of Uruagu Nnewi, the late Chief JBC Igbokwe (Ugonabo) on Thursday February 4 2010 afforded me the great opportunity to witness the February 6 2010 historic governorship elections in Anambra State. Historic in the sense that Anambra has been in the news for wrongs since 1999 and Anambrans and other Nigerians were determined to make things work this time. Historic because a vast preponderance of Nigerians believed that if we fail to get it right it may be a sign of what to expect in 2011. Even more historic it was because other Nigerians felt that with the parade of gamut of deep intellectuals (second to none in Nigeria) and huge collection of very successful businessmen in Anambra State, the people must use their ingenuity to help themselves. It is not an understatement to say that the attention of the world was focused on Anambra State.

The mobilization by the Civil Society, Police, Army, Immigration, Civil Defense, Red Cross, NYSC, and other countless volunteers for this election was unprecedented in the annals of Nigeria. For the first time in the history of Nigeria, I saw Nigerians at work and the goal was to right the wrongs of yesteryears and they succeeded at the end of the day. While I used my phones to get first hand information on what was going on in the 21 LGAs in Anambra, I was physically present in ward 1 Uruagu Nnewi namely Cathedral of St Mary, Akaboedoji (Stella Maris), Ndiakwu and Okpunoeze. One problem I noticed which was a general problem in all 21 LGAs was the irregularities in the INEC registered voters list. At a polling station in Okpunoeze, Uruagu Nnewi I noticed that one out of the four units had only three names of registered voters. I saw many people who moved from one centre to another to see if they can find their names went home without voting. Some of them were lucky to find their names after hours of transversing the landscape searching for their names.

It was a general problem in all nooks and crannies of the State and I do not know why INEC failed in their duties to get things right. INEC shoddy preparations presented a big problem for the determined voters and I hope INEC will sit up in subsequent elections. Now, despite these clearly avoidable human errors and pockets of reports of some desperate people trying to be mischievous in some areas the elections were free and fair and anybody that says otherwise is an enemy of progress. Anybody that says he was robbed in this election tells a lie from the deepest part of hell. Any of the near 30 aspirants that say the election was not free and fair is a bad loser, a trouble maker and a political criminal. And I doubt if anyone of them will go to Court to challenge this election.

From what I saw at the polling stations, I noticed that it was a straight fight between Dr Chris Ngige and Governor Peter Obi. For the PDP it was all noise and no substance. In my own very eyes I saw one PDP Chieftain who came to a polling booth to share money but could not succeed. Party agents were dead serious, wearing red eyes and none was prepared to compromise. You can not do anything funny with the intimidating eyes of these great men and women. One PDP Chieftain from Oraifite spent all night thumb-printing stolen or fake ballot papers and whether he succeeded in stuffing them into the ballot boxes the following morning was another matter. In Otolo Nnewi, one PDP strong man did the same but failed miserably to get the ballot boxes to fill it up. When I got the information of what was happening in these places I put a call to certain quarters and in less than an hour I saw three trucks of soldiers arriving Nnewi from Onitsha and the PDP Chieftains ran for cover. From what I saw PDP did not come to win in a free and fair election, they came to rig. I salute the courage of the police, the Civil Society groups, the people of Anambra State, the soldiers, the Red Cross, NYSC, Civil Defense, Immigration and some eminent citizens of Anambra State.

All things considered, I think history was made in Anambra State and Nigerians deserve kudos for this. It is important to note also that lots and lots of lessons were released to the public for perusal and only a fool will ignore the huge lessons of history. First, it is now clear that we can get it right if we want to. What it requires is courage, determination, hard work, honesty and integrity. The near 30 candidates who took part in the election would have learnt that winning election is not a tea party. It involves hard work, many months of sleepless nights, deployment of the precious gift of time, money, energy to mobilize supporters. Those five man gang who stole our mandate in 2003 and used it for 3 years with impunity would have now discovered to their chagrin what it takes to win elections in a governorship race. Dr Andy Ubah who said he won 2007 governorship elections would have found out that he is a liar from the pit of hell. Those who were deceived by the gathering of fake crowd are now leaking their wounds. They underrated the wise people of Anambra State in their permutations and calculations.

What of those who were dishing out lies upon lies in the internet in the name of opinion polls? I fear for them and I wonder what they are doing now when the game has been won and lost. I read some of the things posted in the internet by some publishers and I ran away with the thinking that what drove us from our local newspapers to the internet is rearing its ugly head again. Fraudsters and charlatans have invaded the internet to make nonsense of a huge technology developed by thinking people to help humanity. We must not yield to the lies of these cheats. Nice guys must fight this until we separate the men from the boys in the internet.

One so-called Dr Adibe using a platform called Holler Africa tried to deceive the world, by giving us a thousand and one reasons why Soludo is the man to beat. Even when we drew his attention to his many lies, this depraved, pliant and pliable animal came out boldly a second time to support his fraudulent analysis. What will this fraudster do now? It is the height of intellectual profanity for anybody who says he possesses a Doctor of Philosophy in any university anywhere in the world to criminalize the public. The job of an intellectual is to speak the truth and nothing but the truth no matter whose ox is gored. Dr Adibe is an intellectual fraud, a disgrace to human conscience, an interloper, a hustler, and a cheat who tried to institutionalize lies for a mess of porridge. Dr Adibe belongs to what my friend Dr Okey Ndibe will call a cast of visionless, greedy and tragically mischievous leaders. Dr Adibe is nothing and Dr of nothing and out of nothing comes nothing.

Another huge lesson from Anambra 2010 is the obvious and painful fact that there is a limit of what money can do. In this stage and age ideas rule the world. You need to see the money deployed by PDP to buy voters cards in Nnewi. Just give them your voter's card to pick the serial number and you get N5000 and some they gave N3000 each. All this came to nothing but at the end of the day Anambrans collected their money and voted according to the dictates of their conscience.

In all I found out that it is possible to have free and fair elections in Nigeria if we all want to achieve it. We have allowed political brigandage and impunity to prevail in the land and Anambra has proved that it is possible to stop the mess. I also found out that staggered elections will help this country to achieve electoral sanity. I suggest that we conduct election in the nation's six geopolitical zones separately. In so doing it will be possible to deploy the nation's human and material resources to a particular zone and after that we move to another. I saw what it took to achieve what we achieved in Anambra and I realized at once that we have been paying lip service to matters of elections in Nigeria and the result is criminals in exalted offices meant for decent minds.

I congratulate Mr Peter Obi for making history. I congratulate him for his honesty and tenacity in the face of huge lies and unwarranted allegations of non-performance. I congratulate Obi for his many wars against electoral criminals, useless and rudderless politicians in the state. I congratulate him for allowing free and fair campaigns in the state not minding the fact that others would have used power of incumbent to suppress, oppress and repress opposition. I congratulate Mr. Obi for adding serious values to Anambra State. I see Mr Peter Obi as one of the finest souls in politics in Nigeria, I see him as strong man with the heart of steel. Whether we like it or not God has used this man to teach us that it is possible to get things right if we develop the right attitude. Yes, it is possible! Let us get to work!

Joe Igbokwe

Lagos


1 2 3
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Lovenest posted on 02-09-2010, 17:02:27 PM
QUOTE:
Free and fair elections are not determined by the percentage of eligible voters who got to vote. Rather elections are free and fair when voters, be they 300,000 of out a possible 1.8 million, cast their votes without fear or favour. That only about 300,000 people could vote has to do with political participation and not the fairness of the elections.

Don't pass comments that will betray your ignorance on public fora such as this.



Can you just read yourself? If the failure of efforts made by majority of voters to make their vote count is not enough political participation, then please lecture me, Prof. Bikonu!
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Pcjadibe posted on 02-09-2010, 17:36:17 PM
Many thanks Joe for your profanities against me - just for an effort you disagree with.

The maturity displayed by the contestants- the winner eschewing triumphalism, and many of the losers conceding in a spirit of sportsmanship - is what made the election unique. Were they to be governed by their emotions as you seem to repeatedly do, there would have been serious post election violence.



I do not know your pedigree. But I do know that from your writings, which are usually so emotion-driven, that one has to struggle to understand the point, it will be pointless trrying to engage you in a serious discussion.

As sanctimonious as you sound, one would have expected you to manifest such in your comportment, presentation and sober interrogation of points of view you disagree with. But this is obviously not your style.

But I wish you the best.
Jideofor
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Iyke posted on 02-09-2010, 19:50:25 PM
For Mr Igbokwe to tell us that only the burial of his relative afforded him the opportunity to go for an election being conducted in his state means that he is not a patrotic fellow. but apart from that i think that his rambling despite being emotionally ladened is in place. For Lovenest on the other hand, fairness in an election means that there are no stumbling blocks put in place for those who comes out to vote to the benefit of one or more parties. was their such stumbling blocks, yes there was. but was it to the benefit of a specific party? no it wasnt. All parties complained as well, thanks to INEC and its shoddy preparations. but all said and done, Obi won clearly and in all fairness he was declared as such.

As for Holler africa, it was nothing but a gallup polls and nobody should be insulted for it. Mr Igbokwe should apologise for such outburst.
An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Joe Igbokwe posted on 02-09-2010, 20:37:13 PM

AN EYE WITNESS TO ANAMBRA GUBER ELECTIONS


http://www.punchng.com/images/October/Friday/pix20061027126195.jpgThe burial of the last of the titans and the patriarch of the great Igbokwe family of Uruagu Nnewi, the late Chief JBC Igbokwe (Ugonabo) on Thursday February 4 2010 afforded me the great opportunity to witness the February 6 2010 historic governorship elections in Anambra State. Historic in the sense that Anambra has been in the news for wrongs since 1999 and Anambrans and other Nigerians were determined to make things work this time. Historic because a vast preponderance of Nigerians believed that if we fail to get it right it may be a sign of what to expect in 2011. Even more historic it was because other Nigerians felt that with the parade of gamut of deep intellectuals (second to none in Nigeria) and huge collection of very successful businessmen in Anambra State, the people must use their ingenuity to help themselves. It is not an understatement to say that the attention of the world was focused on Anambra State.


The mobilization by the Civil Society, Police, Army, Immigration, Civil Defense, Red Cross, NYSC, and other countless volunteers for this election was unprecedented in the annals of Nigeria. For the first time in the history of Nigeria, I saw Nigerians at work and the goal was to right the wrongs of yesteryears and they succeeded at the end of the day. While I used my phones to get first hand information on what was going on in the 21 LGAs in Anambra, I was physically present in ward 1 Uruagu Nnewi namely Cathedral of St Mary, Akaboedoji (Stella Maris), Ndiakwu and Okpunoeze. One problem I noticed which was a general problem in all 21 LGAs was the irregularities in the INEC registered voters list. At a polling station in Okpunoeze, Uruagu Nnewi I noticed that one out of the four units had only three names of registered voters. I saw many people who moved from one centre to another to see if they can find their names went home without voting. Some of them were lucky to find their names after hours of transversing the landscape searching for their names.


It was a general problem in all nooks and crannies of the State and I do not know why INEC failed in their duties to get things right. INEC shoddy preparations presented a big problem for the determined voters and I hope INEC will sit up in subsequent elections. Now, despite these clearly avoidable human errors and pockets of reports of some desperate people trying to be mischievous in some areas the elections were free and fair and anybody that says otherwise is an enemy of progress. Anybody that says he was robbed in this election tells a lie from the deepest part of hell. Any of the near 30 aspirants that say the election was not free and fair is a bad loser, a trouble maker and a political criminal. And I doubt if anyone of them will go to Court to challenge this election.


From what I saw at the polling stations, I noticed that it was a straight fight between Dr Chris Ngige and Governor Peter Obi. For the PDP it was all noise and no substance. In my own very eyes I saw one PDP Chieftain who came to a polling booth to share money but could not succeed. Party agents were dead serious, wearing red eyes and none was prepared to compromise. You can not do anything funny with the intimidating eyes of these great men and women. One PDP Chieftain from Oraifite spent all night thumb-printing stolen or fake ballot papers and whether he succeeded in stuffing them into the ballot boxes the following morning was another matter. In Otolo Nnewi, one PDP strong man did the same but failed miserably to get the ballot boxes to fill it up. When I got the information of what was happening in these places I put a call to certain quarters and in less than an hour I saw three trucks of soldiers arriving Nnewi from Onitsha and the PDP Chieftains ran for cover. From what I saw PDP did not come to win in a free and fair election, they came to rig. I salute the courage of the police, the Civil Society groups, the people of Anambra State, the soldiers, the Red Cross, NYSC, Civil Defense, Immigration and some eminent citizens of Anambra State.


All things considered, I think history was made in Anambra State and Nigerians deserve kudos for this. It is important to note also that lots and lots of lessons were released to the public for perusal and only a fool will ignore the huge lessons of history. First, it is now clear that we can get it right if we want to. What it requires is courage, determination, hard work, honesty and integrity. The near 30 candidates who took part in the election would have learnt that winning election is not a tea party. It involves hard work, many months of sleepless nights, deployment of the precious gift of time, money, energy to mobilize supporters. Those five man gang who stole our mandate in 2003 and used it for 3 years with impunity would have now discovered to their chagrin what it takes to win elections in a governorship race. Dr Andy Ubah who said he won 2007 governorship elections would have found out that he is a liar from the pit of hell. Those who were deceived by the gathering of fake crowd are now leaking their wounds. They underrated the wise people of Anambra State in their permutations and calculations.


What of those who were dishing out lies upon lies in the internet in the name of opinion polls? I fear for them and I wonder what they are doing now when the game has been won and lost. I read some of the things posted in the internet by some publishers and I ran away with the thinking that what drove us from our local newspapers to the internet is rearing its ugly head again. Fraudsters and charlatans have invaded the internet to make nonsense of a huge technology developed by thinking people to help humanity. We must not yield to the lies of these cheats. Nice guys must fight this until we separate the men from the boys in the internet.


One so-called Dr Adibe using a platform called Holler Africa tried to deceive the world, by giving us a thousand and one reasons why Soludo is the man to beat. Even when we drew his attention to his many lies, this depraved, pliant and pliable animal came out boldly a second time to support his fraudulent analysis. What will this fraudster do now? It is the height of intellectual profanity for anybody who says he possesses a Doctor of Philosophy in any university anywhere in the world to criminalize the public. The job of an intellectual is to speak the truth and nothing but the truth no matter whose ox is gored. Dr Adibe is an intellectual fraud, a disgrace to human conscience, an interloper, a hustler, and a cheat who tried to institutionalize lies for a mess of porridge. Dr Adibe belongs to what my friend Dr Okey Ndibe will call a cast of visionless, greedy and tragically mischievous leaders. Dr Adibe is nothing and Dr of nothing and out of nothing comes nothing.


Another huge lesson from Anambra 2010 is the obvious and painful fact that there is a limit of what money can do. In this stage and age ideas rule the world. You need to see the money deployed by PDP to buy voters cards in Nnewi. Just give them your voter's card to pick the serial number and you get N5000 and some they gave N3000 each. All this came to nothing but at the end of the day Anambrans collected their money and voted according to the dictates of their conscience.


In all I found out that it is possible to have free and fair elections in Nigeria if we all want to achieve it. We have allowed political brigandage and impunity to prevail in the land and Anambra has proved that it is possible to stop the mess. I also found out that staggered elections will help this country to achieve electoral sanity. I suggest that we conduct election in the nation's six geopolitical zones separately. In so doing it will be possible to deploy the nation's human and material resources to a particular zone and after that we move to another. I saw what it took to achieve what we achieved in Anambra and I realized at once that we have been paying lip service to matters of elections in Nigeria and the result is criminals in exalted offices meant for decent minds.


I congratulate Mr Peter Obi for making history. I congratulate him for his honesty and tenacity in the face of huge lies and unwarranted allegations of non-performance. I congratulate Obi for his many wars against electoral criminals, useless and rudderless politicians in the state. I congratulate him for allowing free and fair campaigns in the state not minding the fact that others would have used power of incumbent to suppress, oppress and repress opposition. I congratulate Mr. Obi for adding serious values to Anambra State. I see Mr Peter Obi as one of the finest souls in politics in Nigeria, I see him as strong man with the heart of steel. Whether we like it or not God has used this man to teach us that it is possible to get things right if we develop the right attitude. Yes, it is possible! Let us get to work!


Joe Igbokwe

Lagos

..Read the full article
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Lovenest posted on 02-09-2010, 20:37:13 PM

AN EYE WITNESS TO ANAMBRA GUBER ELECTIONS


http://www.punchng.com/images/October/Friday/pix20061027126195.jpgThe burial of the last of the titans and the patriarch of the great Igbokwe family of Uruagu Nnewi, the late Chief JBC Igbokwe (Ugonabo) on Thursday February 4 2010 afforded me the great opportunity to witness the February 6 2010 historic governorship elections in Anambra State. Historic in the sense that Anambra has been in the news for wrongs since 1999 and Anambrans and other Nigerians were determined to make things work this time. Historic because a vast preponderance of Nigerians believed that if we fail to get it right it may be a sign of what to expect in 2011. Even more historic it was because other Nigerians felt that with the parade of gamut of deep intellectuals (second to none in Nigeria) and huge collection of very successful businessmen in Anambra State, the people must use their ingenuity to help themselves. It is not an understatement to say that the attention of the world was focused on Anambra State.


The mobilization by the Civil Society, Police, Army, Immigration, Civil Defense, Red Cross, NYSC, and other countless volunteers for this election was unprecedented in the annals of Nigeria. For the first time in the history of Nigeria, I saw Nigerians at work and the goal was to right the wrongs of yesteryears and they succeeded at the end of the day. While I used my phones to get first hand information on what was going on in the 21 LGAs in Anambra, I was physically present in ward 1 Uruagu Nnewi namely Cathedral of St Mary, Akaboedoji (Stella Maris), Ndiakwu and Okpunoeze. One problem I noticed which was a general problem in all 21 LGAs was the irregularities in the INEC registered voters list. At a polling station in Okpunoeze, Uruagu Nnewi I noticed that one out of the four units had only three names of registered voters. I saw many people who moved from one centre to another to see if they can find their names went home without voting. Some of them were lucky to find their names after hours of transversing the landscape searching for their names.


It was a general problem in all nooks and crannies of the State and I do not know why INEC failed in their duties to get things right. INEC shoddy preparations presented a big problem for the determined voters and I hope INEC will sit up in subsequent elections. Now, despite these clearly avoidable human errors and pockets of reports of some desperate people trying to be mischievous in some areas the elections were free and fair and anybody that says otherwise is an enemy of progress. Anybody that says he was robbed in this election tells a lie from the deepest part of hell. Any of the near 30 aspirants that say the election was not free and fair is a bad loser, a trouble maker and a political criminal. And I doubt if anyone of them will go to Court to challenge this election.


From what I saw at the polling stations, I noticed that it was a straight fight between Dr Chris Ngige and Governor Peter Obi. For the PDP it was all noise and no substance. In my own very eyes I saw one PDP Chieftain who came to a polling booth to share money but could not succeed. Party agents were dead serious, wearing red eyes and none was prepared to compromise. You can not do anything funny with the intimidating eyes of these great men and women. One PDP Chieftain from Oraifite spent all night thumb-printing stolen or fake ballot papers and whether he succeeded in stuffing them into the ballot boxes the following morning was another matter. In Otolo Nnewi, one PDP strong man did the same but failed miserably to get the ballot boxes to fill it up. When I got the information of what was happening in these places I put a call to certain quarters and in less than an hour I saw three trucks of soldiers arriving Nnewi from Onitsha and the PDP Chieftains ran for cover. From what I saw PDP did not come to win in a free and fair election, they came to rig. I salute the courage of the police, the Civil Society groups, the people of Anambra State, the soldiers, the Red Cross, NYSC, Civil Defense, Immigration and some eminent citizens of Anambra State.


All things considered, I think history was made in Anambra State and Nigerians deserve kudos for this. It is important to note also that lots and lots of lessons were released to the public for perusal and only a fool will ignore the huge lessons of history. First, it is now clear that we can get it right if we want to. What it requires is courage, determination, hard work, honesty and integrity. The near 30 candidates who took part in the election would have learnt that winning election is not a tea party. It involves hard work, many months of sleepless nights, deployment of the precious gift of time, money, energy to mobilize supporters. Those five man gang who stole our mandate in 2003 and used it for 3 years with impunity would have now discovered to their chagrin what it takes to win elections in a governorship race. Dr Andy Ubah who said he won 2007 governorship elections would have found out that he is a liar from the pit of hell. Those who were deceived by the gathering of fake crowd are now leaking their wounds. They underrated the wise people of Anambra State in their permutations and calculations.


What of those who were dishing out lies upon lies in the internet in the name of opinion polls? I fear for them and I wonder what they are doing now when the game has been won and lost. I read some of the things posted in the internet by some publishers and I ran away with the thinking that what drove us from our local newspapers to the internet is rearing its ugly head again. Fraudsters and charlatans have invaded the internet to make nonsense of a huge technology developed by thinking people to help humanity. We must not yield to the lies of these cheats. Nice guys must fight this until we separate the men from the boys in the internet.


One so-called Dr Adibe using a platform called Holler Africa tried to deceive the world, by giving us a thousand and one reasons why Soludo is the man to beat. Even when we drew his attention to his many lies, this depraved, pliant and pliable animal came out boldly a second time to support his fraudulent analysis. What will this fraudster do now? It is the height of intellectual profanity for anybody who says he possesses a Doctor of Philosophy in any university anywhere in the world to criminalize the public. The job of an intellectual is to speak the truth and nothing but the truth no matter whose ox is gored. Dr Adibe is an intellectual fraud, a disgrace to human conscience, an interloper, a hustler, and a cheat who tried to institutionalize lies for a mess of porridge. Dr Adibe belongs to what my friend Dr Okey Ndibe will call a cast of visionless, greedy and tragically mischievous leaders. Dr Adibe is nothing and Dr of nothing and out of nothing comes nothing.


Another huge lesson from Anambra 2010 is the obvious and painful fact that there is a limit of what money can do. In this stage and age ideas rule the world. You need to see the money deployed by PDP to buy voters cards in Nnewi. Just give them your voter's card to pick the serial number and you get N5000 and some they gave N3000 each. All this came to nothing but at the end of the day Anambrans collected their money and voted according to the dictates of their conscience.


In all I found out that it is possible to have free and fair elections in Nigeria if we all want to achieve it. We have allowed political brigandage and impunity to prevail in the land and Anambra has proved that it is possible to stop the mess. I also found out that staggered elections will help this country to achieve electoral sanity. I suggest that we conduct election in the nation's six geopolitical zones separately. In so doing it will be possible to deploy the nation's human and material resources to a particular zone and after that we move to another. I saw what it took to achieve what we achieved in Anambra and I realized at once that we have been paying lip service to matters of elections in Nigeria and the result is criminals in exalted offices meant for decent minds.


I congratulate Mr Peter Obi for making history. I congratulate him for his honesty and tenacity in the face of huge lies and unwarranted allegations of non-performance. I congratulate Obi for his many wars against electoral criminals, useless and rudderless politicians in the state. I congratulate him for allowing free and fair campaigns in the state not minding the fact that others would have used power of incumbent to suppress, oppress and repress opposition. I congratulate Mr. Obi for adding serious values to Anambra State. I see Mr Peter Obi as one of the finest souls in politics in Nigeria, I see him as strong man with the heart of steel. Whether we like it or not God has used this man to teach us that it is possible to get things right if we develop the right attitude. Yes, it is possible! Let us get to work!


Joe Igbokwe

Lagos

..Read the full article
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Pcjadibe posted on 02-10-2010, 01:31:04 AM
Bro Joe:

I had to answer some questions on another thread about Holler Africa's poll, which I feel you may be interested in. Understandably, these questions will keep coming for a while. They are legitimate and I will try my best to keep answering them - the best I can.

However before pasting this, let me quickly mention that:
a) You descended on me (not on my arguments - apparently because of the opinion poll we conducted) in a recent article in my weekly column at the Daily Independent,"Governor Fashola and the Nude Dancers" (also published on several websites), for arguing that in a plural, secular and democratic society you cannot ban nude clubs as it would amount to imposing a version of morality on all and could also possibly infringe on people's moral autonomy over their bodies in secluded places. Several local newspapers re-published it, and less than two weeks after the publication, the Lagos state House of Assembly passed a motion ordering for the immediate re-opening of the strip clubs. The possibility of making such a difference from my own little corner of the world, is both energising and humbling.
b) You mentioned that I belong to a group your 'friend' Okey Ndibe would describe as 'visionless'. Well, I am not sure if you meant this to be name dropping or not. But you may want to know that Okey Ndibe is one of some 30 academic authors published in 2009 by Adonis & Abbey Publishers, the parent company of Holler Africa. Okey's co-edited volume, Writers, Writing on Conflicts and Wars in Africa, was co-published with Nordic Institute of Africa Studies, Uppsala, Sweden. Currently there are discussions about German translation and we are working to excite a French publisher for French translation. So while Okey may disagree with my writings or polll, it will not make sense to me if he calls me 'visionless'. Again the possibility to make such a difference motivates me a lot, and explains why I undertook the poll in the first instance. I am not the type that is fazed by criticisms as I usually see constructive ones as an opportunity to learn something new to improve on my efforts. I feel convinced that if votes begin to count in Nigeria, our modest pioneering effort with our opinion poll, will become a permanent feature of elections in Nigeria. Already, our effort inspired many other polls during the election. These will become more professionalised as our democracy deepens. I also foresee that political parties may start conducting their own private polls to be able to better tailor their messages. I also foresee many candidates using professional image managers because the body language of some of the candidates counted against them with the voters during the campaign.

Now here are my answers to a recent question on another thread on the poll.
______________
Many thanks Emeka for your comments.

I answered as many questions on the poll as I could. Obviously it would be impossible for me to answer every single question. What I did was to aggreggate all the comments on the poll and reply to them, one by one, as best as I could. Here is the link for that: It was called 'Opinion Poll on Anambra State Elections: A Reply to Critics". It was published on several websites and also by the Daily Independent.
http://www.pointblanknews.com/os2751.html

2)Every one has been puzzled by the outcome of the elections, especially by the margin of the victory. Most analysts predicted very close race. I was surprised that Ngige won only 3 LGAs, Soludo 2 and Ekwunife none. On a personal level I thought Ms Ekwunife ran a marvellous campaign and had crossed the gender line so I was even more shocked that she did not win in any LGA or was beaten by Ukachukwu. But these things happen in elections.

3) Polls are never exact science - you are trusting that respondents told you their real opinion and that these were recorded well. Besides, there are always variables that a poll of this nature can never capture such as late rallies. Even our second poll came more than a week before the election. Late rallies like mobilisation of Igbo sentiments that APGA is an Igbo party and that to vote any other party would humiliate Ojukwu, Governor Obi flagging off projects at each campaign town he visited, the Catholic church openly favouring one candidate etc could have played a part.

4) Have you heard of the 'Bradley Effect'? Well in 1982, Tom Bradley, an African American was comfortaly ahead, by wide margin, in all the polls in California's Governorship race but he still lost because either the respondents told the pollstars lies or they changed their mind about voting for a black candidate at the last minute. There was a similar voter behavior in the 1989 race for Governor of Virginia between Democrat L. Douglas Wilder, an African-American, and Republican Marshall Coleman, a Caucasian.
Just check the several polling companies in the US and see how sometimes the polls have different results for same question.

5) There were several polls that published results of their own poll. Obviously since theirs seem very easily ignored, could it be an indication that more people took ours more serious or that there was some credibility in it?

6) Our first poll found that most of the respondents believed the election would be free and fair. We were also condemned for that. Emeka, why are you also not commending the part of the poll that turned out to be right?

Regards
Jideofor
_________
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Emeka008 posted on 02-10-2010, 03:11:08 AM
Hello Jideofor,
I certainly commend your civility in discussing these issues.

My expertise is in medicine (psychiatry and neuroimaging). So, forgive me if I adopted a non political approach to analysing a political opinion poll.
However, a poll whether political or scientific still has to be valid and the pollster has to show that he has done enough to minimise biases.

I felt quite strongly that your poll did not address the electoral register or discuss any measures you adopted to ensure the people you interviewed were on it. Of course, it turned out that many people who came to vote did not find their names on the register.

You did not address the possible selection bias arising from the use of mobile phone data in a country where virtually everyone is on a pay-as-you-go 'contract'.

The Bradley effect is a reliability issue. I was satisfied that the poll you conducted was not valid given the methodological flaws. Usually, I do not go on analysing if I consider a test or poll as not valid.

You have made an important start but it needs to be fine tuned including figuring out how to address unique 'Naija' effect(s).
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Peterclaver2006 posted on 02-10-2010, 04:49:19 AM
QUOTE:
Can you just read yourself? If the failure of efforts made by majority of voters to make their vote count is not enough political participation, then please lecture me, Prof. Bikonu!


You don't measure the freeness and fairness of an election by the volume of people that voted but on the equality of the opportunities accessible to the candidates. On the later, no candidate has complained that Peter Obi blacked off his voters from voting. So all the candidates had equal opportunities for the 300,000 voters that were allowed to vote so it was free and fair. And going by this, Peter Obi could have won the election if the 1.8million people voted at the end of the day.
If INEC displayed its traditional sloppiness in handling the elections, as we all predicted it will, it removes nothing from the determination of the people of Anambra to ensure that only genuine and credible votes count. Will you be surprised if the genuine and credible voters in Anambra that wanted to vote were 300,000 or do you take the 1.8million so called names on the voters register as your guide? Pray did Gani Fawehinmi, Wole Soyinka, Mohammed Alli and the other names discovered in the voters register also vote?
It seems you place too much honour on the so-called voters' register and it is good that Peter Obi, the victorious candidate has been shouting himself hoarse before the election on this issue while the other candidates were having a ball on the belief that the unverifiable 1.5million voters that never voted would be added to them to give them victory-remember the Andy Uba issue in the 2007 phantom polls?
I think the difference in the election was that some candidates were prevented through the vigilance of the people, from adding the notorious 1 before their real figures, which would have spawned mysterious millions of votes for them. So to every reasonable extent the Anambra election was free and fair. INEC was traditionally sloppy but all candidates benefited negatively from this shortfall, which is why everyone must support electoral reform and not waiting till you are prevented from robbing voters before you cry foul.
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Peterclaver2006 posted on 02-10-2010, 05:17:35 AM
[QUOTE=pcjadibe;429913]Bro Joe:

I had to answer some questions on another thread about Holler Africa's poll, which I feel you may be interested in. Understandably, these questions will keep coming for a while. They are legitimate and I will try my best to keep answering them - the best I can.


Mr. Adibe, while I sympathize with you and want to share the explanations you have made so far, I really would not want to grant you the benefit you are seeking from us. When you did the first act (let me not call it poll), there were so much criticisms that you were forced to do some explanations. Honestly, at the point, I was ready to listen to you believing you will cease publishing such things since not many people believed your effort was not a hatchet job. Honestly, I did not want to pursue this further because I thought you really took in the fierce criticisms and popular rejection that trailed that work. At least, that would have served as a credible pointer to where people's minds, sentiments and ultimately votes, belong. I was utterly shocked when you did the second act, just 48 hours before the election and which gave Soludo a wider lead. It was properly timed to ensure that reactions, which you know would certainly come, would not temper the latest effort, as it did the first. That made me to actually believe that the entire thing was a fabricated job to sell Soludo and not anything near a value-free opinion poll that should score a bull's eye or a near hit if it was anything near credible!
The result of the election really went a long way to worsen your case. And for Soludo not to even come second and even losing his local council to Peter Obi, in an election two opinion polls had already given him by a landslide is really a disastrous record. For Peter Obi who was given a lowly third placement in both polls to record the landslide he got from last week's election shows that people who reacted negatively to your first effort were right and you were wrong after all. There is every virtue in admitting where we have fallen short and moving on than holding to a well worn position, even when everything has proved you wrong. My humble advice is that you cease from further explanations because we are discerning enough to know but don't get yourself involved in things like that, no matter the price. They will only work to place you on a very wrong perspective with people that do not know you. I hope mine would be taken as one sincere advice from an observer, who wishes you and Anambra well.
Re: An Eye Witness To Anambra Guber Elections
Joseph Monehin posted on 02-10-2010, 05:42:59 AM
Thanks Jideofor.

You continue to earn my respect on the mature, logical and scientific way in which you addressed the issue of the Lagos nude clubs on SaharaReporters (although I am still unsatisfied with the position of the LSHA), and on this latest opinion poll for the Anambra elections. I also admire you for your inclination to learn and improve on where you think you have not done well enough; it is a rare quality among intellectuals.
The name-calling and abusive language Joe Igbokwe had employed to attack your person as well as all those who were not satisfied with the conduct and outcome of the 2010 Anambra election, including Chris Ngige, his own partyman, is totally uncalled for.
If everyone agreed that a huge number of electorates in Anambra were disenfrachised (less than 20% of registered voters actually participated), is it not fair to then say that we would never be able to know what the outcome would have been if they have all been allowed to vote?
I think Ngige is right to seek redress if he feels cheated. We must not ignore the fundamental issues just because the immediate outcome of the election pleases some stakeholders and refuse to explore the opportunity to improve on what we have.
While I might not be informed enough to vouch for the integrity of Jideofor and his group who conducted the opinion polls, my simple explanation of why the polls results might have differed from the election outcome are as follows:

1.) The sample size and sampling method might not have provided a representative sample
2.) The large-scale disenfranchisement of potential voters who could not find their names on the voters register might have been lopsided.
3.) Last minute change of voters' minds might have happened.

While I commend Joe Igbokwe for doing his little monitoring during the election (I disagree with Iyke there), the question I will like to ask is this: If this exact process and events had turned up with an Andy Uba as the winner, will your stand be the same?
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