Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Saturday, 6 November 2004 @ 4:46 pm.
Unforeseen Circumstances:

"We are ready for an unforeseen event that may, or may not occur." - Al Gore, Vice President, USA (1992~2000). Question: What really attracted Sir Mark Thatcher - the very beloved son of Margaret (The Iron Lady), former Prime Minister of Great Britain - to be involved in coup plotting in Equatorial Guinea?

Answer: Crude oil, Stupid!

Equatorial Guinea was fairly well-off in the 1950s, even with its modest slave labour-driven, cocoa-based economy. The country became independent in 1968 after 190 years of Spanish colonial rule. Equatorial Guinea's first post-independence president, Francisco Macias Nguema, (who was probably afflicted with either benign psychosis or acute ignorance), unleashed a nightmarish reign of state-sponsored sadism, that led to the death, disappearance, or exile of an estimated 30% of the country. Under his dictatorship, the capacity of the state to do anything meaningful for its citizens was practically zero. Equatorial Guinea was simply a failed state: a banana republic!

President Macias Nguema was overthrown, and subsequently executed by his own nephew, Obiang Nguema-Mbasogo, in 1979. Nonetheless, executive corruption persisted. Opposition leaders were hounded and tortured, and, predictably, Obiang Nguema-Mbasogo won 97% of the votes in massively rigged elections. Funny enough, for over fifteen (15) years, Equatorial Guinea continued to thrive as a full-blown banana republic under President Obiang, simply because the country escaped the attention of external predators. Today, with the discovery of crude oil in Equatorial Guinea, all of that has changed.

Petroleum was discovered in Equatorial Guinea in 1995. Suddenly, Equatorial Guinea's economy expanded by a mind-blowing 1,500%. Overnight, oil production leapt from zero to 350,000 barrels per day! Mercenaries tried to invade the country in 1997; separatists attempted a rebellion in 1998; then there was an attempted coup d'etat in 2002. Each time, President Obiang Nguema-Mbasogo crushed the invasion, (or rebellion, or coup attempt) with shocking barbarity and assiduous brutality, with a little help from his loyal foreign "bodyguards".

Unlike Nigeria, Equatorial Guinea is one of those rare cases in which the discovery of petroleum has not yet aggravated the country's social, economic, environmental, and political problems, primarily because that country's government already existed in a hopeless state of near-total dysfunction before the discovery of crude oil there. The country's decayed infrastructure, and paralysed bureaucracy, plagued with corruption, fails to provide even basic welfare services to most of its population.

In 2004, a band of aging White mercenaries, (mostly veterans of an infamous mercenary organisation that coordinated communal clashes, inter-ethnic conflicts, and civil wars on behalf of various so-called "ethnic militia", "warlords", diamond-smuggling barons, and oil-rich rogue regimes in West Africa, Central Africa, and Southern Africa), met in South Africa, with the sole objective to destabilise and overthrow the government of Equatorial Guinea, in exchange for petro-dollars and lucrative petro-contracts. An opposition leader, one Mr. Severo Moto, who was then in exile in Madrid, was slated to take over power in a "government of national unity, consensus, and reconciliation". President Obiang Nguema-Mbasogo was to be flown to Spain "in the national interest". But it all went wonderfully wrong.

The mercenaries were arrested, variously in Equatorial Guinea, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. And then, they began to talk. Subsequently, the South African police arrested the son of the Iron Lady, Sir Mark Thatcher on suspicion of being one of the active mentors, and key financiers of the failed coup plot.

Unintended Consequences:

"Your food stamps will be stopped effective March 1992, because we received notice that you passed away. May God bless you. You may re-apply if there is a change in your circumstances."

-- Department of Social Services, Greenville, South Carolina, USA.

In the past, both the USA and the EU took strong stands against authoritarianism, and institutionalised executive kleptomania in Equatorial Guinea. In the early 1990s, the US ambassador to Equatorial Guinea openly criticised his host government's very poor human rights record. In response, the government of Equatorial Guinea formally accused the US ambassador of practicing witchcraft, and told him to leave their (God-fearing) country with maximum despatch. In one of those refreshing displays of "unbridled superpower arrogance", the ambassador used the opportunity of his farewell address to name Equatorial Guinea's most notorious pathological sadists and political thugs, most of them, very close confidants, or associates of His Excellency, President Obiang.

However, today, all that has changed. ExxonMobil (of USA) was the first to discover crude oil in commercial quantities in Equatorial Guinea. Other US multinational oil companies are now also operating in the country. Suddenly, the White House has discovered the need for a "positive, constructive engagement" with Equatorial Guinea, even when there is little or no improvement in the human rights situation there. Surely, this is yet another noxious attraction in the oil-rich territory of the Gulf of Guinea. It reflects a failure to learn from the bitter lessons of the Middle East, where Pentagon support for autocratic or/and despotic oil-rich regimes in Iran, Iraq, and the Royal Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, has helped create an implacable adversary, culminating in an epidemic of copycat trans-national terrorism, post-9/11.

In the Niger Delta region, violence now rages with reckless exuberance. It has repeatedly threatened, and in some cases, significantly disrupted crude oil production in Nigeria over the past couple of years. These are experiences that both the USA and the EU, (and their oil companies) ought to be in no hurry to institutionalise here. At the very least, the recent "fact-finding" tour of the Niger Delta region by some EU diplomats is an indication of failure to learn the lessons of the Middle East, or even of Equatorial Guinea, just a short skip away to the south of Nigeria.

Increasingly, the Gulf of Guinea region is becoming attractive as an alternative to the Middle East region, as a conflict-free source of supply of petroleum to the USA and the EU, for obvious reasons, sequel to 9/11. However, as it appears, this blossoming relationship, based on existing conditions and terms, is unlikely to do the USA, or the EU, or the Gulf of Guinea region much good, ultimately. It is an insalubrious magnetism for sure; one that is beyond the bravado of quixotic geriatric mercenaries, and genetically privileged "foreign core investors".

The "Cat-and-Mouse" battle continues.

Kòmbò Mason Braide (Ph.D.)I welcome your comments via e-mail, and encourage this article to be freely reproduced, published, photocopied, dubbed, scanned, faxed, reprinted, reformatted, broadcast, digitised, uploaded, or downloaded, in whatever manner or form, with or without acknowledgement, or further permission.


Reactions

Join the conversation through disqus comments or via our forum. Click on any of the tabs below to select your desired option. Please engage decently.

  • Disqus Comments
  • Facebook
  • Forum Discussion


1 2 3 4 5 6
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Nkire posted on 08-07-2006, 17:18:17 PM
Obugi Nwanna:
You are probably right. In any event, I am a drum major for justice and freedom. I am a drum major for self determination, small government and believe in the power the individual.

May be I am dreaming for the people of Bakassi. When will the African man learn what we were taught as kids during the civil war: That there is life that is worse than death. Life without freedom is worse than death because there is no dignity in it.

Well, like my people say, we will keep going to the farm until the yams mature, then we can harvest. How long will it take? that's the million dollar question.

Ndewo
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Picasso posted on 08-07-2006, 18:00:58 PM
QUOTE:
Obj this minute is probably sending troops to Cameroun to help them quash these \"ungrateful millitants\" who want to tarnish his international image with this \"declaration\". He has promised to \"deliver\" and he will deliver whether they like it or not!!!


A possible scenario but I doubt it. Baba's international image is already and irreversibly tarnished after the TTA was flushed down the drain. Any wonders why they shut the door on his face during the last G8 meeting?
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Nonyellum posted on 08-07-2006, 18:42:45 PM
God's Blessings on your quest, the people of Bakassi Republic. Don't give up.

Niger Delta Republic, my HOPE, NEXT!!!!!!

Egbon, Odudua Republic, you nko?

Biafra, where you dey?

Nigeria MUST DIE to bear good fruit.


@ Gwobe,
36+ years after your thoughtless war, what do you have to show for it? You have a more divided Nigeria than when you started out. I want to add that you're also very abusive. I think it's time Admin called you to order on your incessant use of abusive language on this forum. You write in defence of the North for the most part and no-one calls you unsavoury names, a bigot or "that favorite word of yours" that you employ to blackmail forumites. Such gutter language is a constant turn-off and belittles your arguement. You'll fritter away what little respect you've managed to garner here if you continue to throw your "overfed" weight around like a bully.

Stable Nigeria, key. Who side? If this is what you mean by stable, I'll take my Niger Delta Republic ANYDAY, thank you very much.
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Otito posted on 08-07-2006, 19:23:58 PM
QUOTE:
Nkire, you must be living in dreamland. Abeg wake up!

No Black African Negro will ever in this life live up to your challenge. I predict that either the people of Nigeria or Cameroun will soon descend on the ppl of Bakassi with the usual violence that Africans reserve for themselves, the kind of violence and bestiality they would never dare visit on the true God they worship, the White/Arab man.

And of course the Bakassi ppl will soon give up the fight, that is if they were ever serious. A few hundred casualties, give them a few jobs on an oil rig and they will fold.

Nothing will ever come of this so-called declaration. NOTHING! Dem no dey fear? If you want to see ppl who love and fight for their freedom and self preservation, why not follow the Israeli/Arab conflict unfolding right now before our very eyes?

Africans? Abeg make I hear word jare!

Get Yours!
Obugi.



IT WILL BE GOOD IF ADMIN CAN CREATE A SORT OF POP UP OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT FOR PEOPLE TO SIGN OR SO IN SUPPORT OF THE BAKASSI PEOPLE. IT IS THEN LEFT TO MEMBERS OF THE NVS TO LET OTHER AFRICANS AROUND THE WORLD KNOW ABOUT IT. (YOU KNOW THOSE KIND OF EMAILS WHERE YOU ARE ASKED TO FORWARD IT TO 5 OTHER PEOPLE AND SO ON)

DO NOT DESPISE SMALL BEGINNINGS.

OTITO
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Chinedu Nwobu posted on 08-07-2006, 19:41:41 PM
Fellow Nigerians check out this contradictions;

The North always insists on one Nigeria, yet they are the most intolerant of other Nigerians.

How can the North insist on one Nigeria, when the North is segregated (sabon gari), and when they always slaughter other Nigerians at the slightest pretext?.

How can the North reconcile Sharia, the riots and killings with one Nigeria?
How can the North reconcile Miss world riots and killings with one Nigeria?
How can the North reconcile Denmark cartoon killings with one Nigeria?
How can the North reconcile "born to rule mentality" with one Nigeria?
How can the North reconcile the Apartheid marginalization of others with one Nigeria?
How can the North reconcile segregation in the North (sabon gari) with one Nigeria?

This is clearly a case of eating one's cake and still wanting to have it.

For the avoidance of doubt, there is clearly no linguistic, cultural, religious, or social link between the average Northener and the average Southerner. The borders pre 1914 remains more homogenous and realistic.

I urge Southerners to make a quick dash to places like Katsina, and Borno states (please dont stay long o make them no go cut off your head) and observe typical Northerners in their towns and villages, also observe their extreme weather conditions, desert sandstorms etc, compare it to your towns, villages, and lifestyle in the South.You would immediately notice that there is no link whatsoever between the North and South, infact to use the word "diametrically opposed" would be an understatement.

The sacred truth is that; the North wants one Nigeria, not because they love other Nigerians,but because they need one Nigeria and the crude oil in the South to survive.

Southern Nigerians will need to be united, and to work very hard to be able to shake them off. Thankfully the world is fast changing, and no condition is permanent.
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Nkire posted on 08-08-2006, 01:00:42 AM
IT WILL BE GOOD IF ADMIN CAN CREATE A SORT OF POP UP OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT FOR PEOPLE TO SIGN OR SO IN SUPPORT OF THE BAKASSI PEOPLE. IT IS THEN LEFT TO MEMBERS OF THE NVS TO LET OTHER AFRICANS AROUND THE WORLD KNOW ABOUT IT. (YOU KNOW THOSE KIND OF EMAILS WHERE YOU ARE ASKED TO FORWARD IT TO 5 OTHER PEOPLE AND SO ON)

DO NOT DESPISE SMALL BEGINNINGS.

OTITO


I second the above proposal. Admin, What do you say?

In my life time, I just want to see a re-drawing of the country map of Africa by Africans for the benefit of a section of Africa even if the white man hates the idea. No, I want to see this happen for the forseable good that could accrue from it and also for the fact that the European man is opposed to it.

Africans wake-up. It is not too late. A person's morning begins at whatever time he wakes up from his slumber. No time is better now to wake up. Remember, Africa will never prosper and build nations without first obtaining her freedoms.

Give me freedom or give me death, this mantra of the granite State - Newhampshire cannot be more appropriate for Africans.
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Kvin33 posted on 08-08-2006, 01:40:04 AM
The most important response now is what comes out of the US and UK. The US has significant military presence in the gulf of "biafra" to forestall any knee jerk reactions from either Nig or Cameroun, should they choose to. This event is much more serious than what most posts have conceded. Although the land is small, the territorial waters, oil and gas rich waters that will come under Bakassi claim is significant, and that is why the declaration is tantamount to attack on the increasingly oil dependent states of the african gulf.

Any group can declare independence but as many people have stated, they don't posess the finances, army, population, or supplies to backup this declaration. So for all intents and purposes this is not a serious statement. However, if recognized or even slightly tolerated by the US, then it will signal the begining of the end of Nigeria. Why? Look, Cameroun will resist this at all cost, and if Nigeria erroneously try to screw cameroun as per "if we can't have Bakassi then nobody can", If Nigeria succeeds in bogging down Cameroun (when the inevitable "police action" begins), Cameroun may retaliate by allowing their territory to be used for training and arming separatist movements in the east. This would be a new development and could get serious!

However, Knowing the white man, and $77 a barrel, the West cannot afford to support such political adventurism or a West African Gulf oil interruption, that could cripple their economy. My guess is that Cameroun will get tacit US support to subdue Bakassi and some in Nigeria will provide support for Bakassi. Yes, I believe Nigerian Security Services have their hands all over this statement so they'll have a "humanitarian" excuse to keep forces in Bakassi past the date agreed with Cameroun given that there is no way Cameroun wouldn't now send in the Gendarmes, armed to the teeth! OBJ may not want to be the president who gave away nigerian territory. I want everyone to pay close attention to what happens next, this is the test case of what another Biafra, Oduduwa, Ambassonia could look like.

This is Africa! 15,000? Africa has killed more than ten times that number in Darfur. The Nigerians killed about double that in the North within months in 1966-67. This is Africa, they better recant or we'll all be talking of the 2006, 3 day massacre in Bakassi for years to come. Nobody will come to your rescue o! Look at Darfur!
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Abraxas posted on 08-08-2006, 06:38:56 AM
Hi, folks!

I guess, if the European organisers and participants at the Berlin Conference (for the equitable partitioning of Africa in 1884 ~ 1885) had been benevolent enough to have invited Messiah-General Okikiolakan Aremu Mathew Olusegun Obasanjo (The Great) of Nigeria, to attend as a special African observer to the scrambling exercise, to help them appraise the undisguised rampage of Africa objectively as an African, definitely, General OBJ would have expressed unreserved support for their kind gesture of honouring him with an invitation to the land grabbing and resource looting seminar held under the distinguished chairmanship of General Bismarck of Germany!

I am afraid, the burden of being raised and nurtured in a pervasive culture of abject colonial mentality, both as a child, at the peak of British colonialism in Nigeria, and as a young soldier in the Queen’s Own (Nigeria) Regiment, will live with him for ever, or at least, till Tuesday, 29 May 2006.

That, unfortunately, is the predicament of the good people of Bakassi Peninsular in particular, and Nigerians generally. Meanwhile, Madam Bakassi is on a congo-shining binge while the patriots of Bakassi are yelling for the proverbial milk of human kindness
(from her Nigerian boobs!)

Muchas gracias.

Yahoo! Avatars U.K. & Ireland>>
> >
Don Juan Carlos ABRAXAS (III)>>
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Edoji posted on 08-08-2006, 06:52:02 AM
It is irreponsible to say the least for OBJ to hand over any part of Nigeria to another country........................................

Loo and behold..................................
The balkanisation of Nigeria has begun!
Re: .Bakassi residents declare independence from Cameroon and Nigeria
Gwobezentashi posted on 08-08-2006, 06:56:19 AM
@ Nonyellum
QUOTE:
I want to add that you're also very abusive. I think it's time Admin called you to order on your incessant use of abusive language on this forum. You write in defence of the North for the most part and no-one calls you unsavoury names, a bigot or \"that favorite word of yours\" that you employ to blackmail forumites. Such gutter language is a constant turn-off and belittles your arguement. You'll fritter away what little respect you've managed to garner here if you continue to throw your \"overfed\" weight around like a bully.

Balderdash and none is perhaps more deserving than you. Whose cause are you championing here? Nigeria's in your zest for a Niger Delta Republic? When references to a corrupt, rent seeking, blood thirsty, parasitic North are made here, what did you say? Chuckle may be because it represents your view? How do you expect me to respond? With gratitude? Every time I have reacted it has always been to a provocation to a blanket tarring of a whole northern Nigeria by myopic and irresponsible prejudice. I have also ever focussed on the particular character hurling cheap abuse never to a whole group or you think we do not have prejudice to hurl? You have just used derogatory terms to describe me as "you continue to throw your "overfed" weight around like a bully". Even your whole tone of "36+ years after your thoughtless war, what do you have to show for it?" is offensive. Should I not be offended? I have sought to engage in sensitive and responsible debate here but keep coming across vile and crass behaviour deserving of the type of response I give. What suprises me is that some of you do not seem to realise the offence that you give when they make their reckless statements(feigning innocence when confronted) such as "Its only those who have nothing to offer that are afraid of disintegration." as a response to my alarm at disintegration. When Achife on his thread remarked on Nenadi Usman's achievement as only due to quota, do you expect Northern Nigeria clapping for him?

I operate on a simple frequency, if you insult my people be prepared for plenty of it back. No shaking. I trust that clarifies.

Aluta!

Gwobezentashi
1 2 3 4 5 6
Please register before you can make new comment