24 Nov 2008 |
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| Vision 2020: Vision Or Mirage? Olumide Iluyomade In the past few years, the Nigerian government has consistently proclaimed and fostered this concept of ‘Vision 2020’, despite showing no evidence of an intelligent, incremental positioning strategy. It boggles my mind to think how any organization can achieve an objective or goal, without putting in place and establishing a platform for a calculated, well thought-out, critically assessed plan and strategy for achieving set goals and objectives.
In the simplest terms, Vision 2020 is the objective of Nigerian government to grow the size of Nigeria’s economy from its current position of 40th to the 20th Nation in the world by the year 2020. Having said this, it is important to remember that the 40th position is by no means a measure of the government’s performance or of the living standards in Nigeria. The 40th position was neither achieved nor accomplished! - It is simply so by virtue of the fact that Nigeria is the 8th most populous nation in the world and the 6th largest exporter of petroleum Oil. For a true measure of development and government performance in Nigeria, we have to look elsewhere. Currently, Nigeria ranks very low in the Human Development Index (HDI) as compiled by United Nations Development Program’s (UNDP) Human Development Report 2007/2008. Nigeria ranks 158th out of a possible 177 position! When using the much lauded "Ibrahim Index of African Governance", which was specifically sponsored and designed for sub-Saharan nations of Africa by Mo Ibrahim Foundation (MIF), Nigeria ranks an embarrassingly low 39th position out of 48 African nations. The 9 countries in sub-Saharan Africa which we seemed to better, are all countries that are either currently at war or are recovering from war, genocide or famine!
In Nigeria, I have come to recognize an exaggerated and excessive culture, a diversionary method of governance, the use of which is prevalent and ubiquitous - The eagerness of the government and all its proponents to have visions, launch useless books, engage in talks, organize seminars, attend conferences, host workshops and even sponsor symposiums. The ostentatious display of 'capacity' and 'intentions' whilst remaining completely devoid of true capacity, knowledge and capabilities to actually accomplishment the set goals and touted objectives! In reality, our leaders are mostly charlatans - showy and pretentious without any real substance! I have no doubt that there are many who will not agree with my observations and that is fair. I however admonish you to watch your NTA news tonight and tell me if you will hear anything of substance outside of the usual barrage of Seminars, Conferences, Workshops, ‘Talks’ and the occasional meaningless 'Launching'. This unfortunate phenomenon has been going on for the past 15-20 years! – since the days of Babangida and his useless MAMSER program and nothing has changed. This strategy has been successfully used to shroud a thriving culture of corruption and incompetence for many years! Sadly, Nigerian journalists, who are suppose to see through this thin veil and call the government to order, have become a proponent and an extension of this massive scheme of self-delusion and fraud.
I recently read an article where the Nigerian government was making preparations and arrangements for nuclear power plant facilities. I laughed to the point of rolling on the floor (but it is a sad laugh too!). I have never been able to understand why we always feel the need to outdo and ridicule ourselves before a world audience! Here is a nation that failed to maintain a simple coal fired power plant and has NOT the organizational intellect to maintain a gas turbine plant (even as we speak), yet they strut around in obtuse ignorance and promenade, talking about Nuclear power - A technology that is capable of destroying an entire nation if mishandled! The truth is any nation that has nuclear power technology, has had to develop it themselves! It is simply not a technology that one can buy on the shelf! It is as if what is going on with Iran and North Korea is totally lost unto us! We make ourselves the laughing stock of the world when we exhibit such ignorant and unschooled naiveté.
Nigerians are angry, disenfranchised and frustrated - to watch their purpose, and dreams, and hopes for a better tomorrow slip away, hijacked by depraved and incompetent leadership! To look at the horizon and see a vicious cycle of corruption, greed of mythical proportions with no end in sight. To be raped, defrauded and demeaned repeatedly by the very "leaders" charged with public trust and to see no justice in sight. To be humiliated, rejected, mocked and demeaned in foreign countries and to come home and be subjected to worse treatments! To see acute immorality and corrupt perversions continuously rewarded and to watch true nobility, honor, hard work and honesty, disdained and sent to the gallows, left to rot in misery. To endure grandiloquent speeches, listen to loud and lame plans that never come to fruition and to see one's hopes, aspirations, future and God given resources wasted on hedonistic lifestyles, squandered on redundant and obtuse minded projects and to have your sensibilities assaulted with hopeless visions, proclaimed and promoted by depraved and nefarious 'leaders' - is the most painful thing in the world!! And I share in that pain!
Having never lived up to its promises or obligation, the Nigerian government has now decided to enmesh us in ‘Vision 2020’. How could a president who failed to fix ordinary roads, even the one to his own hometown in 8 years, have any vision? I guess it makes sense for a nation to move from the 158th position (out of 177 possible positions!) to the 20th position of the Human Development Index, in the space of 12 years!! Especially a 'great' country like Nigeria which has spent the last 20 years in absolute and complete failure! - failing to provide even the most basic infrastructural needs - national infrastructures such as oil refineries, power plants and road networks have gone to the dogs!. Industries and manufacturing bases have been devastated becoming extinct amidst inane, acutely constipated and convoluted government policies. And now the same pack of charlatans, suddenly have a vision! President Yar'dua was in London, urging the business community to invest in ‘Vision 2020’. I watched in dismay, as the Westerners in attendance mockingly nodded their heads. What irks me most is not just the ubiquitous failings and lameness, but the so called 'Vision' and the mockery and ridicule that such uneducated, unintelligent and unrealistic projections bring upon our nation! We can take a look at the history of any developed nation and see how long they have been at it, understanding the systematic and intelligent application of scarce resources to achieve national objectives over time - this tells the whole story! Development is neither cheap nor quick, and it is certainly not an unattainable challenge. It must however be tackled with not only a vision, but with great commitment, sacrifice and hardwork. It baffles me that while we have not even shown that we are able to succeed in accomplishing what the Roman Empire accomplished 2000 years ago (Coliseum, Water Aqueduct, Paved Roads, engineering marvels, Bridges and Structures …. etc), nor have we shown the slightest inkling of purpose or understanding of what developed nations demonstrated and accomplished 60 - 100 years ago (Industrialization, WW2 technology and socio-economic growth and organization), we are willing to strut around, in abysmal ignorance, consumed with 'epileptic fits' and moronic 'nuclear visions' of the year 2020!. How about showing us what Obasanjo did with the $200 billion oil windfall in his 8 years of misrule?? How about showing a little humility and learning to climb a tree from the bottom up, rather than this wasteful, senseless and unproductive synapses that lead us to believe we can do the unthinkable and climb from the top down!. We need to tell these leaders to stop having 'visions' and to start showing us productive, efficacious and intelligent, step by step plans - and it starts with fixing the terrible mess which 30 years of misrule and misdeeds has left the nation grappling with! It is amazing just how much damage a single generation of irresponsible leadership can inflict on a nation! If it took 30 years to utterly destroy the hopes and aspiration of a nation, it will certainly take a heck of a lot more than 12 years to fix it, even with a genius behind the wheels! - and we all know that the present crop of leaders are NO geniuses!!! (not even close)
Therefore, the question in mind should not be whether Nigeria can accomplish the goal of becoming one of the 20 most industrialized nations in the world – of course, we can…………eventually!. The question should be what are we putting in place today, to ensure that we are strategically positioned to emerge as one of the 20 most important economies and industrialized nations tomorrow. Given Nigerian government's history of performance and its current level of incompetence and overwhelming corruption, can we reasonably expect anything to come out of Vision 2020 or any other vision for that matter? I am a pragmatist and one who bases his decisions on what is proven and established, and not on what hasn't transpired! I am not elderly but I have learnt that history is credible, history is factual and you cannot keep doing things the same way, over and over again, and expect a different and better results! Based on our history and what I see now - Nigeria will be lucky to be one nation in 20 years much less being developed! Finally, we need to recognize the challenges before us are much greater than our own individual ambitions and our individual goals. We are saddled with the enormous responsibility of forging and carving out a bright and promising future for our children and generations to come – a privilege which has been denied us! And therefore, it goes without saying that the days of shameless corruption and mindless, incompetent leadership have got to come to an end. The days of unfair treatment, marginalization and disenfranchisement of large sects of the Nigerian population have got to stop. We must enter a new era of accountability, intelligent planning & projections and smart articulate leadership. A new era of socio-economic growth, national pride and inclusive participation with a common and united front. A new dawn of social order and prosperity brought about by a common understanding of the importance of the rule of law, justice and equity. For the day is far spent and the inevitable gloom brought about by wasted and squandered potentials draws closer! If nothing at all, we should learn from history and from the contemporary example of a tiny nation like U.A.E, for beyond the horizon of our current excesses lay the looming and impending doom of an era of radically diminished crude oil importance! It will be calamitous and devastating to reach that point and have a nation that is still largely underdeveloped and totally unprepared!
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