| The Minefields of Aso Rock |
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| Written by Fred Igbeare | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunday, 17 June 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The Minefields of Aso Rock
By Fred Igbeare
One wrong move on any explosive issue and Nigeria could blow up under President Umaru YarAdua! The minefields he must carefully navigate through are numerous. As he scans the landscape, plotting his next moves, YarAdua deserves praise for one key decision. By swiftly enforcing the Supreme Courts ruling reinstating Anambras Governor Peter Obi, the president has defused a huge political bomb. One down, many more to go! The Rule of Law: It is very likely that the judiciary would issue more verdicts like the Anambra one. How will YarAdua react though if the courts rule that his own election was rigged? That could be the ultimate test of his professed devotion to upholding the rule of law. If the courts invalidates his presidency and he refuses to obey, we all should be prepared for a major conflagration! On the other hand, his opponents should be prepared to bow to the Supreme Court if they dont win. They may be unable to produce sufficient evidence to sway the courts their way. I do believe the elections were rigged. Belief is one thing; proving your belief in a court of law is another. Any defeat should be taken by the opposition as a challenge to do better in gathering evidence of electoral fraud. King Makers and Puppet Masters: Former President Olusegun Obasanjo is being cast in the role of a puppet master. Puppet? You obviously don't know me. I'm nobody's puppet., YarAdua told Time magazine recently. Time will eventually reveal the truth of that assertion. Can YarAdua be loyal to Obasanjo and to Nigeria simultaneously? If he desires to, would he be able to extricate himself from his benefactor? The Military Bomb: Obasanjos appointees seem to still control the military for now. If YarAdua begins to assert himself here, what would be the responses from the armed forces? Remember that Obasanjos presidency was a clever extension of military rule. OBJ served to protect the interests of a military clique that has reaped immense profits from stealing political power. Armed robbery aptly depicts this charade: a plausible explanation for why key players like David Mark are so wealthy. Can YarAdua confront the military clique without being assassinated or overthrown? Given the shaky legitimacy of his government, it is doubtful many Nigerians will rise to his defense. Indeed, the military bandits wont give up their loot or the opportunity to get even more loot without a fight. Does YarAdua have the stomach for this fight? If he leaves matters as they are, his critics would accuse him of being part of the problem. If he shakes the system, things could get pretty hot for him. Who will stand with him if he decides to do right? Talk is still cheap, you know! Hydra-headed Corruption: Imagine a creature with many heads. Cut off any of the heads and it grows back again. Such is the story of corruption in Nigeria. YarAdua sure has his hands full with this one! I have no other comments here except to say: good luck and good speed, sir! Just kidding! Seriously though, how do you deal with such a creature? With all that heavy weaponry, even the military lost the battle to corruption. In fact, the nature of military rule itself is corrupt. Political thievery is probably the worst kind of banditry. The nature of the military succeeding itself through a pseudo-civilian government is corrupt. The nature of that counterfeit government rigging its successor into power is corrupt. So, where do we even begin to fix this mess? In YarAduas case, he may even be a victim of the corrupt system. He has benefited from it though. How then can he repudiate a system that brought him to power? Reports indicate he may be moving cautiously on corruption by holding back the EFCC (for now?). As for the acting police boss, he is saying the right things, but how far can he go? Will former IG Sunday Ehindero go to jail, and then afterwards business as usual prevails? Riggers Nation? YarAdua can take at least one solid stand now against corruption if he spear-heads genuine electoral reforms. That stand may include asking the National Assembly to make the INEC completely independent from the executive. The judiciary or a committee comprising all three branches of govenment could supervise the elections. In the spirit of federalism, the state INECs would be responsible for their domains. I had proposed earlier that the last National Assembly make videotaping the voting and counting process a legal requirement for validating elections. That proposal could help electoral litigants establish proofs of rigging more easily.
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Posted by Robot| 17.06.2007 02:25